Friendly International
Argentina - Mauritania
03/27/2026, 11:15 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.2
1.1
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
57%
Draw
24%
Away Win
19%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
81%
Away or Draw
43%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Clear Favorite: Mathematical analysis predicts a 57% win probability for Argentina
- Offensive Strength: Argentina has a high predicted goal count of 2.05 goals and an 84% probability for over 1.5 goals
- Player Quality: Argentina's starting lineup includes players like Julián Alvarez, who contributed 3 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Argentina's Injury List: Several key players like G. Pezzella, J. Foyth, and R. de Paul are missing
- Limited Data Availability: Lack of comprehensive season statistics, form data, and head-to-head records makes detailed analysis difficult
- Friendly Match Nature: The nature of a friendly match can lead to experimentation and lower intensity, influencing predictability
Overview
Argentina hosts Mauritania in a Friendly International match on March 28, 2026, 12:15 AM. The mathematical analysis places Argentina as the clear favorite with a 57% win probability. Mauritania's win probability is calculated at 19%, while a draw is estimated at 24%.
Key Players
For Argentina, Julián Alvarez shows strong form in the last 5 games with 3 goals and 3 assists, averaging a 7.73 rating. Enzo Fernández contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 appearances with a 7.32 rating. Nahuel Molina scored 2 goals in his last 4 outings with a 7.06 rating. Individual player form data for Mauritania is not available, therefore no key players can be identified based on performance statistics.
Goalkeepers
Emiliano Martínez is confirmed as the starting goalkeeper for Argentina. Mamadou Diop is the designated goalkeeper for Mauritania.