La Liga
Levante - Villarreal
02/18/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.4
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
11%0:0
11%1:2
9%0:2
9%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
26%
Draw
30%
Away Win
44%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
56%
Away or Draw
74%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- League position gap: Third-placed Villarreal faces relegation-threatened nineteenth-placed Levante
- Attack vs. Defense: Villarreal's potent offense (1.91 goals/game) meets Levante's extremely vulnerable home defense (2.2 goals conceded/game)
- Statistical forecast: The mathematical analysis clearly favors Villarreal with a 44% win probability
Risk Factors
- Poor form for both teams: Despite being favorites, Villarreal, like Levante, has only won one of their last five matches
- Potential fatigue for Levante: The home team has had only three days of rest since their last match
- Low goal threat: Both teams have a very low season average of just 2.4 shots on target per game, which could indicate a match with few chances
Overview
Levante, 19th in the standings with 18 points, hosts Villarreal, 3rd with 45 points
The La Liga match will take place on February 18, 2026, at 8:00 PM at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante is fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Villarreal aims to solidify its position at the top of the table
The mathematical analysis favors the visitors with a 44% win probability
Form
Levante form (all competitions): LWDLL
In the last 5 matches, there has been 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
The team is currently on a 2-game losing streak
Villarreal form (all competitions): LLDWL
The record from the last 5 matches is also 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
The last match ended in a loss
Statistics
Villarreal has a significantly stronger attack, averaging 1.91 goals per game compared to Levante's 1.13
Levante's defensive weakness at home is particularly striking, conceding 2.2 goals per game
Villarreal has a strong away attack (1.89 goals per game) but is also vulnerable defensively (1.78 goals conceded)
In Levante's matches, 11 out of 23 have had over 2.5 goals, while for Villarreal it's 13 out of 23
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal has won 3 and Levante has won 2
The goal difference is clearly in Villarreal's favor at 12:5
Levante won the last encounter 2-0
Overall, Villarreal is considered to have been dominant in recent meetings
Key Players
Jeremy Toljan has contributed 1 goal and 3 assists this season
Jon Ander Olasagasti has been directly involved in 3 goals (1 goal, 2 assists)
Goalkeeper Mathew Ryan consistently performs well with an average rating of 7.14
Alberto Moleiro is Villarreal's top scorer with 9 goals and 4 assists
Georges Mikautadze also impresses with 7 goals and 4 assists
Nicolas Pépé contributes to the attack with 3 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
Levante's Mathew Ryan has kept 4 clean sheets in 21 appearances this season
Villarreal's Luiz JĂșnior has managed 7 clean sheets in 20 matches
Influences
Levante's weakness at home is a decisive factor, with only 1.1 goals scored versus 2.2 goals conceded per home game
Statistics from the last 5 games at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia show an average of 2.2 goals per match
Both teams have scored in 3 of Levante's last 5 home games