Super League
Servette - Winterthur
04/26/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.3
3.3
1.0
2:1
10%1:1
9%2:0
9%3:1
8%3:0
7%What influences the xG?
Servette
Winterthur
League
The Lab
- 1Servette with Florian Ayé: 3.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Winterthur with Alexandre Jankewitz: 1.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Servette: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Servette: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5Winterthur: 67% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
65%
Draw
21%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
86%
Away or Draw
35%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Servette enters the match with a mathematical win probability of 65%
- Servette shows a positive form trend and is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than its season average (1.7)
- Winterthur's defense is very vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.27 goals per game
Risk Factors
- For Winterthur, Andrin Hunziker is not in the lineup, reducing the usual starting eleven's goal threat to 67%
Overview
Servette (2nd place, 40 points) hosts Winterthur (6th place, 19 points) at Stade de Genève
Super League match on April 26, 2026, 4:30 PM
Servette is aiming for the top spots, while Winterthur is fighting against relegation
Form
Servette's current form is WLWWD
This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from the last 5 games
The last match ended in a draw
Winterthur's form over the last 5 games is DWLLL
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Winterthur has suffered 3 consecutive losses recently
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Servette scores an average of 1.73 goals per game and concedes 1.73 goals over the season
At home, Servette scores an average of 1.76 goals and concedes 1.53 goals
The team kept 6 clean sheets, 4 of which were in home games
Winterthur scores an average of 1.06 goals per game and concedes 2.61 goals
Away, the average is 1.07 goals scored and 3.27 goals conceded
Winterthur has not managed a clean sheet this season
At Stade de Genève, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
Servette is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than its season average (1.7)
Winterthur's goal production is stagnant (0.8), while its season average is 1.1
Head-to-Head
In the 5 past head-to-head matches, Servette was recently dominant
Servette won 2 games, Winterthur one, and 2 matches ended in a draw
Servette scored a total of 11 goals, Winterthur 7 goals
The last encounter on March 03, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw
Key Players
For Servette, Junior Kadile (4 goals, 3 assists in the last 5 games), Miroslav Stevanovic (2 goals in the last 5 games) and Florian Ayé (1 goal in the last 5 games) are important offensive players
Kadile's form shows a clear upward trend with an average rating of 7.88 in the last 5 games
Timothé Cognat is not nominated
For Winterthur, Théo Golliard (1 goal in the last 5 games, 4 goals, 4 assists overall), Nishan Burkart (1 goal, 2 assists in the last 5 games) and Roman Buess (1 goal in the last 5 games, 3 goals, 1 assist overall) are notable
Golliard and Burkart show a rising form trend with improved ratings in the last 5 matches
Goalkeepers
Jérémy Frick is expected in goal for Servette
Servette has achieved a total of 6 clean sheets this season
Stefanos Kapino is in goal for Winterthur
Winterthur has not kept a clean sheet this season
Influences
Servette shows a solid offense at home with an average of 1.76 goals scored
Winterthur's away record is defensively weak, with an average of 3.27 goals conceded per game
Stade de Genève has seen an average of 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches