Super League
Grasshopper - Luzern
04/25/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.0
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Grasshopper
Luzern
League
The Lab
- 1Luzern: 8 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Luzern with Levin Winkler: 11.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Grasshopper with Young-joon Lee: 3 goals/90 min. Without: 0.6 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 4Grasshopper: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 5Luzern: 44% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (7 of 16)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
59%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Luzern enters the game as a favorite with a 41% probability, while Grasshopper has only 32%
- Luzern shows stable form and offensive consistency with an average of 2.0 goals per game
- The recent head-to-head record clearly favors Luzern, who won 4 of the last 5 encounters
Risk Factors
- Luzern averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Luzern concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
Overview
Grasshopper host Luzern at Stadion Letzigrund
Super League match on April 25, 2026, 6:00 PM
The away team is the slight favourite according to mathematical analysis
Form
Grasshopper shows a poor form curve with 'LLLLW' in their last five matches
This corresponds to 1 win and 4 losses
Their current form is negative according to Advanced Stats
Luzern has mixed form with 'WLWLD'
This is 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games
According to Advanced Stats, the team's form is stable
Statistics
Grasshopper score an average of 1.21 goals per game and concede 1.97 goals
At home, they average 1.22 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded
They kept 5 clean sheets
Luzern score an average of 1.94 goals per game and concede 1.85 goals
Away from home, they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded
They also kept 5 clean sheets
According to Advanced Stats, Grasshopper's goal production is currently stagnating (1.0 goals), while the season average is 1.3 goals
Luzern consistently score around 2.0 goals per game
At Stadion Letzigrund, an average of 3.2 goals are scored per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, there were 5 matches
Grasshopper secured 1 home win, while Luzern claimed 4 away wins
Overall, Grasshopper scored 8 goals and Luzern 16 goals
The last encounter on February 10, 2026, ended 3:4 for Luzern
Luzern dominated recent meetings
Key Players
For Grasshopper, Jonathan Asp Jensen (8 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 6.98 rating), Michael Frey (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 6.96 rating) and Dirk Abels (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 6.82 rating) are key
Jonathan Asp Jensen shows a declining form trend
For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto (12 goals, 12 assists, Avg. 7.49 rating), Oscar Kabwit (7 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 7.02 rating) and Andrej Vasovic (4 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.65 rating) stand out
Matteo Di Giusto has a rising form trend
Goalkeepers
Justin Hammel is Grasshopper's goalkeeper and has achieved 5 clean sheets this season
His last 5-game rating is 6.24 with a declining form trend
Pascal Loretz guards Luzern's goal and also recorded 5 clean sheets this season
His last 5-game rating is 6.70 with a stable form trend
Influences
Grasshopper's home strength is reflected in an average of 1.22 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per home game
At Stadion Letzigrund, an average of 3.2 goals are scored per game, with over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches