Super League
Lausanne Sport - Zürich
04/25/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.8
1.0
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
10%3:1
6%3:0
6%What influences the xG?
Lausanne Sport
Zürich
League
The Lab
- 1Zürich: 7 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Zürich: 83% of xG value comes in the second half (last 7 games with xG data)
- 3Zürich: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (3 of 8 total)
- 4Lausanne Sport: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 5Zürich with Ilan Sauter: 2.2 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
54%
Draw
26%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
46%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis shows a home win with 54% probability
- Defensive Comparison: Lausanne Sport's home defense (avg. 1.35 goals conceded) is more stable than Zürich's away defense (avg. 2.31 goals conceded)
- Head-to-Head: Lausanne Sport dominated the recent 5 encounters with 3 wins and won the last match 2:1
Risk Factors
- Zürich concedes an average of 2.31 goals per away game
- Lausanne Sport's goal production is stagnant (1.0), season average is 1.6
- Zürich's goal production is stagnant (1.0), season average is 1.4
Overview
Lausanne Sport (2nd place, 0 points) host Zürich (6th place, 0 points) at the Stade Olympique de la Pontaise
Super League match on April 25, 2026, 6:00 PM
The hosts aim to capitalize on their home strength
Form
Lausanne Sport's recent form (WLLWL) shows 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last appearance ended in a loss
Zürich's form (LLWLL) is weaker with 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 matches
The team recorded 2 consecutive losses recently
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Lausanne Sport averages 1.42 goals scored per game and concedes 1.73 goals per game this season
At home, they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded per match
The team kept 5 clean sheets
Zürich averages 1.36 goals scored and concedes 1.91 goals per game
Away from home, they scored 1.38 goals and conceded 2.31 goals per game
Zürich recorded 2 clean sheets, none away from home
Both teams scored in 23 games for both sides (BTTS) and there were over 2.5 goals in 24 and 26 games respectively
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches between Lausanne Sport and Zürich, Lausanne Sport secured 3 wins, Zürich 1 win, and there was 1 draw
Lausanne Sport scored 10 goals while Zürich managed 6 goals
The last encounter on March 4, 2026, was won by Lausanne Sport with a 2:1 score
The analysis indicates recent dominance by the home team
Key Players
For Lausanne Sport, Omar Janneh with 7 goals and 1 assist, and Olivier Custodio with 3 goals and 4 assists are key players; Custodio contributed 1 goal and 3 assists in the last 5 games
Kévin Mouanga, a defender, scored 1 goal and 0 assists in the last 5 games
For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny with 12 goals and 3 assists and Matthias Phaëton with 7 goals and 1 assist stand out
Valon Berisha showed 2 assists in the last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Lausanne Sport's goalkeeper Karlo Letica played 32 season games and kept 5 clean sheets
Zürich's goalkeeper Yanick Brecher featured in 21 games and kept 2 clean sheets
Influences
Lausanne Sport scores an average of 1.40 goals at home and concedes 1.35 goals
Zürich scores an average of 1.38 goals away and concedes 2.31 goals