🇨🇭

Super League

Zürich - Grasshopper

05/09/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
Zürich
1.5
Total xG
3.1
Grasshopper
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
ZÜRGRA

Zürich

Attack weakness (0.8x league average)
-0.31
Defensive weakness (1.9 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.17
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.10
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.10
Valon Berisha on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Strong home record (1.8 vs 1.3 goals/match)

Grasshopper

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.18
Declining form (0.6 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.18
Lovro Zvonarek not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)
Simone Stroscio not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)
Michael Frey on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
20% of goal output missing (only 83% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.75
+0.75
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Zürich: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 2
    Grasshopper with Samuel Krasniqi: 2 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Zürich: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (3 of 8 total)

  • 4
    Grasshopper: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Zürich: 74% of xG value comes in the second half (last 7 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

27%

Away Win

37%

Goals

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

63%

Away or Draw

64%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

63%

No

37%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts an extremely tight match with almost identical win probabilities (Zürich 36%, Grasshopper 37%) and a high 63% chance for both teams to score
  • Defensive Vulnerability: Grasshopper shows significant defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.47 goals per game
  • Form and H2H: Despite generally poor form for both teams, Zürich holds the upper hand in head-to-head encounters with 4 wins in 5 matches
Risk Factors
  • Both teams recorded an average of only 3.0 shots on target in their last five games (home and away), indicating difficulties in finishing
  • Grasshopper concedes an average of 2.47 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg), highlighting their defensive vulnerability
  • The almost identical win probabilities (Zürich 36%, Grasshopper 37%) according to the model suggest a high unpredictability of the match outcome
Overview

FC Zürich (10th place, 34 points) host Grasshopper (11th place, 27 points) at Stadion Letzigrund

Super League match on May 9, 2026, 6:00 PM

This match is an important encounter in the lower half of the table

Form

Zürich's form (WLLLD) shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five games

The last result was a draw

Grasshopper's form (LLWLL) includes 1 win and 4 losses in their last five matches

The last game ended in a loss, their second in a row

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

According to advanced statistics, Zürich's goal production has stalled recently (averaging 1.0 goals), while their season average is 1.3 goals

Grasshopper's goal production has also stalled (averaging 0.6 goals) compared to their season average of 1.2 goals

Statistics

Zürich scores an average of 1.34 goals per game and concedes 1.94 goals per game over the season

In home games, the average is 1.35 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded

Zürich had 24 games this season where both teams scored and 28 games with over 2.5 goals

Grasshopper scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.97 goals per game over the season

In away games, the average is 1.2 goals scored and 2.47 goals conceded

Grasshopper had 20 games this season where both teams scored and 19 games with over 2.5 goals

Statistics at Stadion Letzigrund show an average of 2.6 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

Head-to-Head

In the last five head-to-head matches, there were a total of 5 games

Zürich secured 4 wins, while Grasshopper achieved 1 win

There were 0 draws between the teams

The goal difference in these matches is 8:5 in favor of Zürich

The last encounter on February 21, 2026, ended with a 2-1 victory for Zürich

Zürich has been dominant in recent head-to-head encounters

Key Players

For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny is a key offensive player with 13 goals and 4 assists in 29 season appearances

Ivan Cavaleiro contributed 3 goals and has an average rating of 6.91

Bledian Krasniqi is an important figure in midfield with 1 goal and 6 assists

For Grasshopper, Jonathan Asp Jensen stands out with 8 goals and 5 assists in 31 season appearances

Tim Meyer scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists with an average rating of 6.82

Imourane Hassane contributed 1 goal and shows a form trend delta of 0.18

Goalkeepers

Zürich's goalkeeper Silas Huber kept 2 clean sheets in 13 season appearances

Grasshopper's goalkeeper Justin Hammel managed 5 clean sheets in 35 season appearances

Influences

Zürich's home advantage is reflected in 1.35 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded per home game

Grasshopper conceded an average of 2.47 goals per away game

Stadion Letzigrund has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game in recent matches

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.