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Super League

Servette - Lausanne Sport

05/12/2026, 06:30 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Servette
2.0
Total xG
2.9
Lausanne Sport
0.9
Most Likely Scores

2:0

11%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
What influences the xG?
SERLS

Servette

4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.8 goals/match)
+0.31
Rising form (2.8 vs 1.8 season average)
+0.31
Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
+0.02
Florian Ayé not in squad (11 goals, 2 assists)
Houboulang Mendes on the bench (0 goals, 4 assists)
Bradley Mazikou on the bench (0 goals, 4 assists)

Lausanne Sport

Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.87
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.06
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji on the bench (4 goals, 3 assists)
Theo Bair on the bench (6 goals, 0 assists)
Sékou Fofana on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Alban Ajdini on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Kévin Mouanga not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.6 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.75
+0.75
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Servette: first goal in 7 of 8 games (88%)

  • 2
    Lausanne Sport: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    Servette: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 4
    Lausanne Sport with Alban Ajdini: 4 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (4 of 8 games)

  • 5
    Servette: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

23%

Away Win

14%

Goals

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

86%

Away or Draw

37%

No Draw

77%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Servette's current form is strong, with a positive offensive trend scoring more frequently (2.8) than their season average (1.8)
  • Lausanne Sport shows defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 2.29 goals per away game
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a clear favorite role for a home win with 63%
Risk Factors
  • Servette had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Lausanne Sport had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Lausanne Sport's goal production is currently stagnating (1.4), compared to their season average of 1.6
Overview

Servette (8th place, 40 points) host Lausanne Sport (9th place, 39 points) at Stade de Genève. The Super League match takes place on May 12, 2026, 8:30 PM. Both teams are closely positioned in the league table.

Form

Servette shows strong form with WDWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) from their last five matches

The last game ended in a 3-3 draw against Luzern

Lausanne Sport, on the other hand, records WLWLL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses) in their last five outings

Their last two matches were lost 1-2 against Winterthur and 1-3 against Luzern

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Servette averages 1.86 goals scored per game and concedes 1.75 goals

In home games, they average 1.84 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded

Lausanne Sport averages 1.44 goals scored per game and 1.72 goals conceded this season

Away from home, Lausanne Sport concedes an average of 2.29 goals per game

Both teams scored in 26 Servette matches and 25 Lausanne Sport matches

At Stade de Genève, an average of 3.8 goals per game has been seen recently

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 home matches

Head-to-Head

In 5 head-to-head matches, Servette has secured 2 wins, Lausanne Sport 1 win, and 2 games ended in a draw

Servette scored 10 goals, while Lausanne Sport netted 8 goals

The last encounter on February 15, 2026, ended in a 3-3 draw

Servette had a slight advantage in recent direct duels on home soil

Key Players

For Servette, Miroslav Stevanovic (14 goals, 7 assists) and Junior Kadile (5 goals, 9 assists) are crucial

Thomas Lopes has contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

Not nominated: Florian Ayé (11 Goals/2 Assists), Houboulang Mendes (0 Goals/4 Assists), Bradley Mazikou (0 Goals/4 Assists)

On Lausanne Sport's side, Omar Janneh stands out with 8 goals and 1 assist

Jamie Roche has recorded 2 goals in his last 5 games

Gaoussou Diakité has scored 6 goals and provided 6 assists

Not nominated: Nathan Butler-Oyedeji (4 Goals/3 Assists), Theo Bair (6 Goals/0 Assists), Sékou Fofana (2 Goals/2 Assists), Alban Ajdini (1 Goal/1 Assist), Kévin Mouanga (1 Goal/1 Assist)

Goalkeepers

Servette's goalkeeper Jérémy Frick has secured 7 clean sheets this season

Lausanne Sport's goalkeeper Karlo Letica achieved 6 clean sheets

Influences

Servette shows a strong offense at home with an average of 1.84 home goals per game

Lausanne Sport concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerability

Stade de Genève is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 3.8 goals per game

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