Super League
Grasshopper - Winterthur
05/12/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Grasshopper
Winterthur
League
The Lab
- 1Winterthur with Fabian Rohner: 1.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Grasshopper with Samuel Krasniqi: 1.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Grasshopper: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Grasshopper: 71% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 5Winterthur: 68% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
28%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis shows the highest probability for a home win at 42%, with 1.52 expected home goals
- Guests' defensive weakness: Winterthur concedes an average of 3.38 goals per away game
- Form trends: Winterthur currently shows a positive goal development (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.2 goals), while Grasshopper's goal production is faltering (0.8 goals vs. 1.2 goals season average)
Risk Factors
- Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Grasshopper's offense recorded an average of only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Winterthur has not kept a single clean sheet this season
Overview
Grasshopper (11th place, 27 points) hosts Winterthur (12th place, 19 points) at Stadion Letzigrund. The Super League match takes place on May 12, 2026, 8:30 PM. Both teams are in a relegation battle and desperately need points.
Form
Grasshopper's current form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) is L W L L L across all competitions. In their last 5 matches, they recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses. Their last result was a 1-2 defeat against Zürich.
Winterthur shows the form L L L D W across all competitions. In their last 5 matches, they had 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. They recently won 2-1 against Lausanne Sport.
Statistics
Grasshopper averages 1.17 goals scored per game and concedes 1.97 goals per game this season. At home, they score 1.15 goals and concede 1.6 goals. They kept 5 clean sheets.
Winterthur also averages 1.17 goals scored per game but concedes an average of 2.61 goals. Away from home, they score 1.19 goals and concede 3.38 goals. They have not managed a clean sheet this season.
The pipeline analysis predicts 1.52 expected home goals and 1.27 expected away goals. At Stadion Letzigrund, the last 5 matches saw an average of 2.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, Grasshopper won 2, Winterthur won 2, and 1 match ended in a draw. The goal difference is even at 5:5. The last encounter on April 11, 2026, saw Grasshopper win away with a 2-0 score. Recent direct duels have been even.
Key Players
For Grasshopper, Jonathan Asp Jensen is an important midfielder with 8 goals and 6 assists this season, holding an average rating of 6.94. Dirk Abels, a defender, scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist with a rating of 6.82. Defender Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom has an average rating of 6.87.
For Winterthur, attacker Andrin Hunziker stands out with 11 goals and 4 assists and a rating of 6.96. Nishan Burkart (attacker) has scored 5 goals and 2 assists, and his form trend is rising. Midfielder Théo Golliard contributed 4 goals and 6 assists.
Goalkeepers
Grasshopper goalkeeper Justin Hammel made 36 season appearances with an average rating of 6.67 and achieved 5 clean sheets.
Winterthur goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino also played in 36 season appearances, with an average rating of 7.0. He has not kept a single clean sheet this season.
Influences
The match takes place at Stadion Letzigrund on grass. Grasshopper scored an average of 1.15 goals at home and conceded 1.6 goals. Winterthur conceded an average of 3.38 goals per away game. In the last 5 matches at Stadion Letzigrund, an average of 2.6 goals were scored per game. Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%.