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Super League

Zürich - Servette

05/16/2026, 04:00 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
Zürich
1.1
Total xG
2.8
Servette
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
ZÜRSER

Zürich

Attack weakness (0.72x league average)
-0.89
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.16
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.16
Alexander Hack not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Strong home record (1.8 vs 1.3 goals/match)

Servette

Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
+0.26
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.24
Rising form (2.6 vs 1.8 season average)
+0.24
Miroslav Stevanovic not in squad (14 goals, 7 assists)
Florian Ayé not in squad (11 goals, 2 assists)
Houboulang Mendes on the bench (0 goals, 4 assists)
19% of goal output missing (only 79% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.3 goals/match)
+0.78
+0.78
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Servette: first goal in 7 of 8 games (88%)

  • 2
    Servette: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games

  • 3
    Servette with Houboulang Mendes: 3.7 goals/90 min. Without: 7.4 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Zürich: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Servette: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

25%

Draw

28%

Away Win

47%

Goals

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

53%

Away or Draw

75%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

56%

No

44%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a higher probability of an away win for Servette with 47%
  • Servette shows significantly better current form with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games, while Zürich suffered 3 losses
  • Servette averaged 2.6 goals in recent matches, compared to Zürich's 0.8 goals
Risk Factors
  • Servette is missing key players like Miroslav Stevanovic (14 goals/7 assists) and Florian Ayé (11 goals/2 assists), leading to reduced goal threat
  • Servette concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerability
  • Zürich's goal production is stagnant with an average of 0.8 goals in recent games (advancedStats: Negative Trend)
Overview

Zürich (10th place, 34 points) host Servette (8th place, 40 points) at Stadion Letzigrund

Super League match on May 16, 2026, 6:00 PM

Servette aims to improve its mid-table position, while Zürich continues to fight for points in the lower third of the table

Form

Zürich's form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in the last 5 matches is LLDWL

The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Their last match ended in a loss

Servette's form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in the last 5 matches is DWWDW

Servette displayed a strong performance in their last 5 matches with 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses

Their last match ended in a win

Zürich's goal production is stagnant with an average of 0.8 goals in recent games, compared to a season average of 1.3 goals

Servette is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 2.6 goals, compared to their season average of 1.8 goals

Statistics

Zürich scores an average of 1.32 goals per game and concedes 1.89 goals per game over the season

In home games, Zürich averages 1.32 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded

Servette has a season average of 1.86 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Servette averages 1.88 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded

At Stadion Letzigrund, an average of 2.8 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games at Stadion Letzigrund, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

Head-to-Head

In the 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich secured 1 win, Servette 2 wins, and there were 2 draws

Zürich scored 6 goals in these encounters, while Servette scored 8 goals

The last meeting was won by Servette on March 7, 2026, with a score of 2:1

Servette has been the more dominant team in recent head-to-head clashes

Key Players

For Zürich, key players include Philippe Paulin Keny with 13 goals and 4 assists (average rating 7.02), Bledian Krasniqi with 1 goal and 6 assists (average rating 6.66), and Ivan Cavaleiro with 3 goals and 1 assist (average rating 6.87)

For Servette, Junior Kadile stands out with 5 goals and 9 assists (average rating 7.62), Samuel Mraz with 10 goals and 1 assist (average rating 6.81), and Thomas Lopes with 4 goals and 2 assists (average rating 6.86)

Thomas Lopes shows a rising form trend

Goalkeepers

Zürich's goalkeeper Yanick Brecher is expected to be in goal

Servette's goalkeeper Jérémy Frick is expected to be in goal

Over the season, Zürich achieved 2 clean sheets, while Servette recorded 8 clean sheets

Influences

Zürich's home advantage is reflected in 1.32 home goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded per game

Servette scores an average of 1.88 goals away and concedes 2.0 goals

Stadion Letzigrund has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches

At this stadium, both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

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