Super League
Young Boys - St. Gallen
04/26/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.6
1.6
2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%3:1
6%3:2
5%What influences the xG?
Young Boys
St. Gallen
League
The Lab
- 1Young Boys: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2St. Gallen: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 3Young Boys: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 4Young Boys with Dominik Pech: 6 goals/90 min. Without: 2 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 5Young Boys: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
24%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
70%
Under 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
49%
Under 3.5
51%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
70%
No
30%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Young Boys with 45% probability
- Young Boys show a strong home offense with an average of 2.00 goals per home game
- St. Gallen's goal production recently showed a negative trend (1.8 goals currently vs. 2.1 goals season average)
Risk Factors
- Young Boys have a negative record on artificial turf with 0W-0D-1L (1:4 goals)
- St. Gallen only has 87% of their usual starting eleven's goal threat available, with Carlo Boukhalfa (11 goals/3 assists) and Christian Witzig (4 goals/4 assists) among those missing
- Both teams show a negative form trend in recent goal production according to Advanced Stats
Overview
Young Boys (6th place, 48 points) host St. Gallen (2nd place, 60 points) at STADE DE SUISSE Wankdorf Bern
Super League match on April 26, 2026, 4:30 PM
St. Gallen aims to solidify its second place in the table, while Young Boys try to stay in the upper half of the table
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 45%
Form
Young Boys showed a form of "LWDDD" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five matches
They have drawn their last three games consecutively
St. Gallen is unbeaten in five matches with a form of "WDDWD" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
St. Gallen's last match ended in a draw
Statistics
Young Boys score an average of 2.00 goals per home game and concede 1.11 goals
St. Gallen scores an average of 1.88 goals away and concedes 1.24 goals per game
Young Boys have reached the "Both teams scored" mark in 23 matches, while St. Gallen did so in 24 matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 24 Young Boys games and in 23 St. Gallen games
According to mathematical analysis, both teams are expected to score with a 70% probability
An probability of 70% is calculated for over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Young Boys secured three wins and St. Gallen two
The goal difference of 10:6 is in favor of Young Boys
The last encounter on February 11, 2026, ended in a 1:2 defeat for Young Boys against St. Gallen
Historically, Young Boys have been the more dominant team at home
Key Players
For Young Boys, Chris Bedia stands out with 16 season goals and 4 assists
Alvyn Sanches scored 9 season goals and 5 assists with an average rating of 7.45
Edimilson Fernandes recorded 2 season goals and 6 assists, his form is stable with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last five games
For St. Gallen, Alessandro Vogt is the top scorer with 15 season goals and 3 assists, most recently scoring twice in five games
Lukas Görtler contributed 7 season goals and 8 assists, Aliou Baldé scored 10 season goals
Goalkeepers
Young Boys' goalkeeper Marvin Keller kept 7 clean sheets this season
St. Gallen's goalkeeper Lawrence Ati Zigi achieved 8 clean sheets in 30 appearances
Influences
The match will take place on artificial turf
Young Boys have a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss with 1:4 goals on artificial turf
St. Gallen has a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 4:2 goals on artificial turf
Young Boys benefit from their home advantage with an average of 2.00 home goals scored and 1.11 home goals conceded