Super League
Basel - Sion
04/26/2026, 12:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.6
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
Basel
Sion
League
The Lab
- 1Sion: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 2Sion: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 3Sion: 43% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (6 of 14)
- 4Sion: 68% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
35%
Draw
29%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
65%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a very close outcome, with a slight advantage for Sion (36% win probability) over Basel (35%)
- Sion is unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) and shows consistently good form
- Basel has a good defense at home, with an average of 0.94 goals conceded per home game
Risk Factors
- Basel is missing Xherdan Shaqiri (11G/10A), LĂ©o Leroy (1G/1A), and Ibrahim Salah (3G/2A) as well as other important players, with only 56% of the usual starting XI goal threat available
- Basel's form shows 2 losses in their last 5 games
- Basel lost the last direct encounter on February 12, 2026, by 0:2 against Sion
Overview
Basel (4th place, 53 points) host Sion (5th place, 52 points) at St. Jakob-Park
Super League match on April 26, 2026, 2:00 PM
Both teams are close in the table and are fighting for better positions
Form
Basel's form across all competitions is LWWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Sion shows strong form of DWDWW with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
Sion recently won 4:0 away against Grasshopper and 3:0 at home against Lausanne Sport
Basel most recently lost 1:3 away against Thun, but drew 3:3 at home against Young Boys
Statistics
Basel averages 1.55 goals scored per game and concedes 1.36 goals
Sion has a similar offense with 1.55 goals per game, but a stronger defense with 1.06 goals conceded
At home, Basel scores an average of 1.56 goals and concedes 0.94 goals
Sion scores 1.53 goals away and concedes 1.35 goals
An average of 4.0 goals per game have been scored at St. Jakob-Park
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 3 times, Sion won 1 time, and there was 1 draw
Basel scored 8 goals, Sion scored 4 goals
The last encounter on February 12, 2026, ended with a 2:0 victory for Sion
Nevertheless, Basel is described as the dominant team in recent direct encounters
Key Players
For Basel, Béanie Traoré is in stable form with 9 season goals and 2 assists, plus 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Metinho shows rising form with 2 season goals and 2 goals in the last 5 games
Albian Ajeti scored 0 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
For Sion, Rilind Nivokazi has 12 season goals and 3 assists, plus 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games with declining form
Ilyas Chouaref is stable with 6 season goals and 5 assists, plus 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Benjamin Kololli shows rising form with 6 season goals and 1 assist, plus 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Marwin Hitz of Basel made 31 season appearances and kept 9 clean sheets
Anthony Racioppi of Sion played in 33 games and kept 12 clean sheets
Influences
Basel shows a solid defense at home, conceding an average of 0.94 goals per home game
At St. Jakob-Park, an average of 4.0 goals were scored in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 80% of the games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the games