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Super League

St. Gallen - Sion

05/03/2026, 12:00 PM

0 : 3
Expected Goals
St. Gallen
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Sion
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

8%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
SGSIO

St. Gallen

Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.51
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.14
Declining form (1.6 vs 2.1 season average)
-0.14
Christian Witzig not in squad (4 goals, 4 assists)
Diego Besio on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Tom Gaal not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)

Sion

Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
-0.31
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.4 goals/match)
+0.19
Rising form (2.4 vs 1.8 season average)
+0.19
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15

League

High-scoring league (3.3 goals/match)
+0.77
+0.77
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    St. Gallen: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Sion: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)

  • 3
    Sion: 73% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 4
    Sion: 46% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (6 of 13)

  • 5
    St. Gallen: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

30%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

64%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Sion's strong form: Sion has recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, with current goal production (2.4) significantly above their season average (1.8)
  • Tight prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a balanced match with small differences: St. Gallen 36%, Draw 30%, Sion 33%
  • Home strength vs. Away form: St. Gallen is strong at home with an average of 2.0 goals, but faces a Sion that recently won three consecutive away games without conceding
Risk Factors
  • St. Gallen's stalling offense: St. Gallen's recent goal production (1.6 goals on average) is lower compared to their season average (2.1 goals)
  • Limited data availability: Data for total duels in the last 5 games is missing for both teams
Overview

St. Gallen (2nd place, 60 points) host Sion (5th place, 52 points) at Kybunpark

Super League match on May 3, 2026, 2:00 PM

A top-of-the-table clash between two teams from the upper half of the standings

Form

St. Gallen's form across all competitions is DDWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

In their last 5 matches, St. Gallen achieved 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses

Their last result was a win

Sion's form across all competitions is WDWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Sion recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a win, marking a three-game winning streak

Statistics

St. Gallen averages 1.94 goals scored per game and concedes 1.21 goals

At Kybunpark, they average 2.0 goals per home game and concede 1.19 goals

Sion averages 1.56 goals scored per game and concedes 1.03 goals

Away from home, they average 1.56 goals per game and concede 1.28 goals

The last 5 games at Kybunpark averaged 2.2 total goals

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games (60% BTTS rate) and there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games (60% Over 2.5 rate)

Head-to-Head

In 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen secured 2 wins, Sion 1 win, and there were 2 draws

St. Gallen scored 8 goals in these matches, Sion 6 goals

The last encounter on March 21, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw

The recent head-to-head record slightly favors St. Gallen

Key Players

For St. Gallen, Alessandro Vogt with 15 goals and 3 assists, Lukas Gƶrtler with 8 goals and 8 assists, and Carlo Boukhalfa with 11 goals and 3 assists are key players

Not nominated for St. Gallen are Christian Witzig (4G/4A), Diego Besio (2G/2A), and Tom Gaal (1G/2A)

For Sion, Rilind Nivokazi with 13 goals and 3 assists, Ilyas Chouaref with 6 goals and 6 assists, and Benjamin Kololli with 6 goals and 1 assist are crucial

Goalkeepers

St. Gallen's goalkeeper Lawrence Ati Zigi achieved 8 clean sheets this season

Sion's goalkeeper Anthony Racioppi recorded 13 clean sheets

Influences

St. Gallen averages 2.0 home goals scored and 1.19 home goals conceded at Kybunpark

The Kybunpark statistics show an average of 2.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches at Kybunpark

The playing surface is grass

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