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Super League

Sion - Thun

05/10/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Sion
1.5
Total xG
2.9
Thun
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
SIOTHU

Sion

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.64
Attack strength (1.25x league average)
-0.41
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.24
Rising form (2.6 vs 1.8 season average)
+0.24
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Rilind Nivokazi not in squad (13 goals, 4 assists)
Josias Lukembila not in squad (4 goals, 2 assists)
Kreshnik Hajrizi not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
21% of goal output missing (only 79% available)

Thun

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.37
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
-0.30
Declining form (1.2 vs 2.2 season average)
-0.30
Elmin Rastoder on the bench (13 goals, 6 assists)
Kastriot Imeri on the bench (6 goals, 7 assists)
Christopher Ibayi not in squad (10 goals, 3 assists)
Leonardo Bertone on the bench (10 goals, 2 assists)
Fabio Fehr not in squad (2 goals, 7 assists)
Michael Heule not in squad (1 goals, 7 assists)
Genís Montolio not in squad (4 goals, 1 assists)
Mattias Käit on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
61% of goal output missing (only 40% available)
Weak away record (1.7 vs 2.2 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.75
+0.75
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sion: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 2
    Thun with Nils Reichmuth: 5.4 goals/90 min. Without: 1.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Sion: 74% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

  • 4
    Thun: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 5
    Sion: 44% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (7 of 16)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

28%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

61%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

59%

No

41%

Key Factors
  • Critical squad impact for Thun: Only 40% of the usual starting XI strength is available, missing key players like Elmin Rastoder (13G/6A) and Christopher Ibayi (10G/3A)
  • Sion's excellent form: The team is unbeaten in 5 games and shows a positive form trend with 4 wins and 1 draw
  • Historical dominance of Thun: Thun has won all 5 direct duels against Sion, most recently on February 15, 2026
Risk Factors
  • Sion's missing key players: R. Nivokazi (13G/4A), J. Lukembila (4G/2A) and K. Hajrizi (1G/1A) are not in the squad, resulting in 21% of goal threat missing
  • Thun's poor away form: The team lost 4 of their last 5 away games, reinforcing a negative form trend
Overview

Sion (5th place, 52 points) host Thun (1st place, 74 points) at Stade de Tourbillon. This Super League match takes place on May 10, 2026, 4:30 PM. Sion aims to close the gap to the top spots, while Thun seeks to solidify their league leadership.

Form

Sion shows excellent form with DW WWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five matches across all competitions. The team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw. Sion won their last match 3-0 against St. Gallen. Sion's current goal production is higher (Avg. 2.6 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.8 goals), indicating a positive form trend. Thun, however, is in a difficult phase with LLWLL in their last five games. The team secured 1 win and 4 losses. Thun lost their last match 1-3 against Basel. Thun's goal production is stagnant (Avg. 1.3 goals), with a season average of Avg. 2.2 goals, suggesting a negative form trend.

Statistics

Sion scores an average of 1.60 goals per game and concedes 1.00 goals. At home, they average 1.56 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded. Thun is stronger offensively with Avg. 2.17 goals per game but concedes Avg. 1.17 goals. Away, Thun scores Avg. 2.12 times and concedes Avg. 1.25 goals. Sion recorded 14 clean sheets, while Thun managed only 6. Both teams scored in 17 of Sion's games and 25 of Thun's games. At Stade de Tourbillon, the last 5 matches averaged 2.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches.

Head-to-Head

In the 5 direct encounters between Sion and Thun, Sion has not yet recorded a win. Thun dominated these matches with 5 victories. The goal difference stands at 2:7 in favor of Thun. The last meeting on February 15, 2026, saw Thun win 1-0 away.

Key Players

For Sion, Ilyas Chouaref is an important offensive player with 7 goals and 6 assists this season. His form is stable, with 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 appearances. Benjamin Kololli shows a rising form curve with 7 goals and 2 assists, scoring 2 goals and providing 1 assist in his last 4 outings. Nias Hefti, a defender, has contributed 6 assists and shows stable form. For Thun, Franz-Ethan Meichtry is the most prolific scorer with 8 goals and 3 assists, but his form is declining. Nils Reichmuth has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists, also showing declining form. Brighton Labeau has scored 3 goals and provided 4 assists, maintaining stable form.

Goalkeepers

Sion relies on Anthony Racioppi, who has secured 14 clean sheets this season. For Thun, Tim Spycher is in goal, with his team achieving 6 clean sheets this season.

Influences

Sion benefits from a home advantage at Stade de Tourbillon, where the team averages 1.56 goals scored and concedes only 0.75 goals. The last 5 matches at Stade de Tourbillon averaged 2.6 goals per game. In 60% of these matches, both teams scored, and in 40% there were more than 2.5 goals.

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