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Super League

Sion - Lugano

05/14/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Sion
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Lugano
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
SIOLUG

Sion

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.69
5 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.8 goals/match)
+0.30
Rising form (2.8 vs 1.8 season average)
+0.30
5 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Benjamin Kololli not in squad (7 goals, 2 assists)

Lugano

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.17
Declining form (1 vs 1.6 season average)
-0.17
Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.5 league avg)
-0.15
4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Daniel Dos Santos not in squad (4 goals, 10 assists)
Renato Steffen not in squad (7 goals, 3 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.74
+0.74
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Lugano: scored only in H2 in 8 consecutive games (8 of 8 total)

  • 2
    Lugano: 100% of xG value comes in the second half (last 7 games with xG data)

  • 3
    Sion: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)

  • 4
    Lugano with Elias Pihlstrƶm: 5 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 5
    Sion with NoƩ Sow: 9.6 goals/90 min. Without: 2 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

73%

Away or Draw

57%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Sion's outstanding current form with 5 consecutive wins and 0 goals conceded in the last 5 games
  • Sion's increased goal production averaging 2.8 goals per game recently, compared to their season average of 1.8 goals
  • Lugano's recent decline in goal production to an average of 1.0 goals, below their season average of 1.6 goals, and their recent loss
Overview

Sion (5th place, 52 points) host Lugano (3rd place, 57 points) at Stade de Tourbillon

Super League match on May 14, 2026, 4:30 PM

Sion is fighting for a better league position, while Lugano aims to defend a top spot

Form

Sion is in excellent form with 5 consecutive wins (Form: WWWWW)

In their last 5 games, Sion scored 14 goals and conceded 0

Lugano won 4 of their last 5 matches but lost their most recent game (Form: WWWWL)

Lugano scored 5 goals and conceded 2 in their last 5 outings

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Sion averages 1.61 goals scored per game and concedes 0.97 goals this season

Lugano has an average of 1.47 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded per game

In home matches, Sion scores 1.59 goals and concedes 0.71 goals

Lugano scores 1.5 goals and concedes 1.43 goals in away matches

Sion kept 15 clean sheets, while Lugano managed 11 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 17 of Sion's games and in 22 of Lugano's matches

The Stade de Tourbillon venue sees an average of 2.6 goals per game

At Stade de Tourbillon, both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches (BTTS rate 60%)

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches at Stade de Tourbillon (Over 2.5 rate 40%)

Head-to-Head

In 5 head-to-head matches, Sion secured 2 wins, with 1 draw and 2 wins for Lugano

Sion scored a total of 10 goals, while Lugano registered 7 goals

The last encounter on March 4, 2026, resulted in a 2-1 victory for Lugano

Recent head-to-head encounters have been even

Key Players

For Sion, Ilyas Chouaref stands out with 8 goals and 7 assists, boasting an average rating of 7.23

Ilyas Chouaref showed rising form in the last 5 games with 3 goals and 3 assists

Rilind Nivokazi is a key player with 13 goals and 4 assists, and an average rating of 6.96

Ali Kabacalman (3 goals, 1 assist, rating 7.02) is also noteworthy

Not nominated for Sion: Benjamin Kololli (7T/2A)

For Lugano, Kevin Behrens is a key player with 11 goals and 2 assists, holding an average rating of 7.01

Anto Grgic contributed 7 goals and 6 assists with an average rating of 7.27

Uran Bislimi (5 goals, 3 assists, rating 7.16) is another relevant force in midfield

Not nominated for Lugano: Daniel Dos Santos (4T/10A), Renato Steffen (7T/3A)

Goalkeepers

Anthony Racioppi, Sion's goalkeeper, has recorded 15 clean sheets in 36 appearances this season

Lugano's goalkeeper David von Ballmoos kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches

Influences

Sion demonstrates a strong home performance, with an average of 1.59 home goals and only 0.71 goals conceded

Stade de Tourbillon is known for an average of 2.6 goals per game

In 3 of 5 matches at Stade de Tourbillon, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored

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