La Liga
Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo
01/25/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.8
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
33%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Celta de Vigo's superior form with four consecutive wins meets an inconsistent Real Sociedad
- Both teams possess high offensive power, supported by their shots on target statistics and Celta's recent scoring surge (2.5 goals average)
- The venue, Anoeta Stadium, promises goals, as shown by recent game stats with 100% BTTS and a 3.4 goal average
Risk Factors
- Potential fatigue for Celta de Vigo due to the short recovery time of only three days
- Real Sociedad's home form is not dominant, with a balanced goal ratio of 1.25 scored to 1.25 conceded per game
Overview
Real Sociedad, in 10th place with 24 points, hosts Celta de Vigo, 7th with 32 points, at Anoeta Stadium
The La Liga match will take place on January 25, 2026, at 6:30 PM
Celta de Vigo enters the match with an eight-point lead and a better position in the standings
This is a key mid-table clash where both teams will look to solidify their position
Form
Real Sociedad: DDWDW (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
Celta de Vigo: DWWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses)
Both teams are unbeaten in their last five matches
Celta de Vigo is showing outstanding form with four consecutive wins, while Real Sociedad has drawn more frequently
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, both teams are at a similar level, with Real Sociedad averaging 1.3 goals per game and Celta de Vigo 1.4
Defensively, Celta de Vigo is more stable, conceding an average of only 1.0 goal per game compared to Real Sociedad's 1.4
Celta has been particularly strong defensively away from home, conceding just 0.78 goals per game
At Anoeta Stadium, the last five matches have averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of cases and over 2.5 goals in 80%
Head-to-Head
The last five head-to-head encounters have been perfectly balanced
Both Real Sociedad and Celta de Vigo have won two matches each, with one draw
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw
The goal difference is also very close at 4:5 from Real Sociedad's perspective
Neither team has established clear dominance in recent history
Key Players
Mikel Oyarzabal stands out for Real Sociedad with 6 season goals and 3 assists, but his form is declining
Takefusa Kubo, with 2 goals and 3 assists, is on a rising form trend
For Celta de Vigo, Borja Iglesias is the top scorer with 7 season goals, and his form is on the rise
Bryan Zaragoza, with one season goal, is also showing a rising form trend
Goalkeepers
Ălex Remiro of Real Sociedad has kept one clean sheet in 20 appearances this season
IonuÈ Radu of Celta de Vigo has managed to keep a clean sheet six times in 20 matches
Statistically, Radu has a higher clean sheet rate this season
Influences
Anoeta Stadium has recently been the scene of very high-scoring games, averaging 3.4 goals
The statistics from the last five home games show a 100% BTTS rate and an 80% Over 2.5 rate
On natural grass, Celta de Vigo has a better away record (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) than Real Sociedad's home record (3 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses)