La Liga
Girona - Getafe
01/26/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.3
1.0
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
31%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
24%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Huge form disparity: Girona has won 4 of their last 5 games, while Getafe is winless in 5
- Home vs. away weakness: Getafe has a disastrous away record on natural grass with 8 losses in 10 games
- Offensive trend: According to advanced stats, Girona is currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals/game) than their season average (1.1)
Risk Factors
- Injury concerns for Girona: The absence of key players like C. Stuani Curbelo and A. Ounahi could impact the offense
- Historical record: The head-to-head record slightly favors Getafe, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters
- Statistical anomaly: Getafe's season data shows a high away goal rate, but it is based on a very small sample size of only 3 games
Overview
Girona, in 13th place in the table with 24 points, hosts Getafe, who are in 17th place with 21 points
The La Liga match will take place on January 26, 2026, at 9:00 PM at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
This is an important match for both teams to establish themselves in the mid-table and stay clear of the relegation zone
Form
Girona (Form: WLWWW) is in strong form with 4 wins from their last 5 matches
Getafe (Form: LLDLL) is in a crisis, having failed to win any of their last 5 games, with 4 losses and one draw
The form curve clearly favors the home team, which is currently on a 3-game winning streak
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Girona scores an average of 1.0 goal per game this season and concedes 1.7
At home, Girona's defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per game
Getafe's season statistics are based on only 3 games, which limits their significance; they have scored an average of 5.0 goals and conceded 1.67
Matches at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi average 2.6 total goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of the games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Getafe has a slight edge with 3 wins to Girona's 2
The goal difference is very balanced at 6-5 in favor of Girona
The last meeting was won by Getafe with a score of 2-1
Overall, there have been no draws in the last 5 matches between them
Key Players
Vladyslav Vanat has scored 7 goals for Girona this season
Viktor Tsygankov is also a key offensive player for the home team with 4 goals and 2 assists
Mauro Arambarri has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist for Getafe
Luis Milla is the central playmaker for Getafe with 7 assists this season
Goalkeepers
Paulo Gazzaniga is Girona's first-choice goalkeeper with 19 appearances and a season rating of 6.70; the team has kept 4 clean sheets
David Soria is in goal for Getafe, has made 20 appearances, and holds an average rating of 6.81; his team has managed one clean sheet so far
Influences
Girona has a positive record on their home grass pitch with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Getafe struggles on natural grass away from home, with only one win, one draw, and 8 losses
The stadium's statistics suggest a tendency towards lower-scoring games, as only 40% of matches have had over 2.5 goals