La Liga
Deportivo Alavés - Real Betis
01/25/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.6
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
41%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
28%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
59%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Attacking power meets home strength: Betis's potent offense (1.65 goals/game) will be tested against Alavés's solid home defense (0.67 goals conceded/game)
- Fatigue factor: Real Betis has had only 3 days to recover, which could be a decisive disadvantage as the match progresses
- Statistical trends: Alavés's goal production has recently declined according to advanced stats, increasing the pressure on their strong home defense
Risk Factors
- Low-scoring stadium: The Estadio de Mendizorroza is known for few goals (only 20% of games with over 2.5 goals), which could neutralize Betis's stronger attack
- Fatigue for Betis: The short break of only 3 days could impact Betis's performance, especially in the second half
- Inconsistent form: Both teams are showing a negative form trend according to the data, making the outcome harder to predict
Overview
Deportivo Alavés, in 18th place with 19 points, hosts Real Betis, 6th with 32 points, at the Estadio de Mendizorroza
The La Liga match will take place on January 25, 2026, at 9:00 PM
Alavés is fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Betis aims to solidify its position in the upper third of the table
Form
Deportivo Alavés form: LDLWL (W=Win, D=Draw, L=Loss)
In the last 5 matches, there was 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Real Betis form: LDWWL
The visitors recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Statistics
Offensively, Real Betis is clearly superior with an average of 1.65 goals per game compared to Deportivo Alavés' 0.8 goals
Both teams concede an average of 1.25 goals per game this season
Alavés is defensively strong at home, conceding only 0.67 goals on average, while Betis is more vulnerable away with 1.75 goals conceded per game
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Deportivo Alavés has the edge with 2 wins, compared to 1 win for Real Betis and 2 draws
The goal difference is 4:2 in favor of Alavés
The last match ended in a 1:0 victory for Deportivo Alavés
Key Players
For Deportivo Alavés, Carlos Vicente and Lucas Boyé are the most dangerous players with 4 season goals each, complemented by Toni Martínez with 3 goals
Real Betis has a potent attack featuring Cucho Hernández (8 goals, 3 assists), Antony (5 goals, 4 assists), and Pablo Fornals (5 goals, 4 assists)
Goalkeepers
Alavés's goalkeeper is Antonio Sivera, who has kept 3 clean sheets this season
For Real Betis, Pau López starts, whose team has kept a clean sheet 7 times this season
Influences
The Estadio de Mendizorroza is a rather low-scoring venue, with an average of just 1.8 goals per game in recent matches and an over 2.5 rate of only 20%
Real Betis has a clear disadvantage in recovery time with only 3 days since their last match
Both teams are accustomed to the natural grass surface at the stadium and show solid performances on it