La Liga
Levante - Elche
01/23/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.6
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
38%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
62%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Key Factors
- Defensive vulnerability of both teams: Levante's extreme defensive weakness at home (2.57 goals conceded per game) meets Elche's equally vulnerable away defense (2.67 goals conceded), making goals on both sides likely.
- Contrasting form curves: Elche is on an upward trend and scoring more goals than their season average, while Levante shows a negative trend and remains below expectations offensively.
- Offensive quality at Elche: With creative players like Álvaro Rodríguez and Martim Neto (4 assists each), Elche possesses greater attacking power compared to Levante.
Risk Factors
- Relegation battle as motivation: As 19th in the table, Levante is fighting for survival and could perform above their level at home.
- Historical advantage: In head-to-head encounters, Levante has a slight historical edge, which could be a psychological factor.
- Limited data: The league table data shows inconsistencies (games played = 0), which makes assessing the overall season performance difficult.
Overview
Levante, in 19th place in the table with 14 points, hosts Elche, who are in 8th place with 24 points. The La Liga match will take place on January 23, 2026, at 9:00 PM at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. For Levante, it is a crucial match in the relegation battle, while Elche aims to keep up with the top half of the table.
Form
Levante's form from the last five games is LDWDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Elche's form is WLDLD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Despite the similar record, Elche shows a positive form trend and has been scoring more frequently than their season average, while Levante has a negative trend.
Statistics
Both teams have defensive weaknesses in their respective situations: Levante concedes an average of 2.57 goals at home, while Elche allows an average of 2.67 goals away. Offensively, Elche is slightly stronger with 1.35 goals per game compared to Levante's 1.11. The stadium's statistics, with an average of 2.8 goals per game and an 80% rate for 'Both teams to score', suggest an open match.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante has the edge with 2 wins to Elche's 1, with 2 draws. The goal difference is narrow at 7-6 in favor of Levante. However, Elche won the last encounter 2-0.
Key Players
For Levante, attackers Karl Etta Eyong (5 season goals) and Iván Romero (4 goals) are the main goalscorers. Carlos Álvarez has contributed 3 goals. For Elche, Germán Valera with 4 goals and playmakers Álvaro Rodríguez and Martim Neto (each with 4 season assists) are crucial for the offense.
Goalkeepers
Levante's goalkeeper Mathew Ryan has kept 3 clean sheets in 17 appearances this season. On the other side, Iñaki Peña is in goal for Elche, having played in 13 matches. Elche has a total of 5 clean sheets for the season.
Influences
The Estadio Ciudad de Valencia sees high-scoring matches with an average of 2.8 goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate. Levante's home weakness is blatant, with an average of 2.57 goals conceded per home game. On grass, Elche has a slightly better record (4W-2D-4L) than Levante (2W-2D-6L).