La Liga
Levante - Atlético de Madrid
01/31/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.5
1.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
26%
Away Win
45%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
31%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
55%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Defensive advantage for Atlético: The visitors concede only 0.81 goals on average, while Levante is extremely vulnerable at home (2.22 goals conceded)
- Contrasting offensive trends: Levante is currently scoring more frequently than their season average, while Atlético's goal production has recently stalled
- Fatigue factor: Atlético Madrid has only 3 days of rest due to their midweek game, while Levante had 8 days to recover
Risk Factors
- Atlético's short recovery period: With only three days of rest, freshness could be a significant disadvantage
- Atlético's attacking slump: The data shows that the visitors' goal production is below their season average
- Key player absences: The absence of Griezmann and Simeone could impact Atlético's attack, despite their squad depth
Overview
Levante, in 19th place with 17 points, hosts Atlético Madrid, who are in 3rd place with 44 points
The La Liga match will take place on January 31, 2026, at 6:30 PM at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante is fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Atlético Madrid aims to stay in touch with the top of the table
Form
Levante: DWDLW - 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses in the last 5 league games
Atlético Madrid: WWDWL - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 league games
Both teams have mixed form, with Levante securing a win recently, while Atlético has struggled to win games
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Atlético Madrid is stronger offensively, scoring an average of 1.81 goals per game compared to Levante's 1.2 goals
Defensively, Atlético is significantly more stable with only 0.81 goals conceded per game, while Levante concedes 1.7
Levante's home weakness is notable, with an average of 2.22 goals conceded per game at their own stadium
Atlético Madrid has kept 9 clean sheets, while Levante has only managed 3
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, the record is balanced with 2 wins each for Levante and Atlético Madrid, and one draw
The goal difference is 7-6 in favor of Atlético Madrid
The last match ended in a 3-1 victory for Atlético Madrid
Key Players
For Levante, Karl Etta Eyong with 5 season goals and Iván Romero with 4 goals are the most dangerous players
For Atlético Madrid, Julián Alvarez (7 goals, 3 assists) and Alexander Sørloath (7 goals) are the top scorers
Antoine Griezmann has also contributed 6 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Levante's goalkeeper is Mathew Ryan; the team has kept 3 clean sheets this season
In goal for Atlético Madrid is Jan Oblak; his team has already kept a clean sheet 9 times
Influences
At the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, there's an average of 3.2 goals per game, and both teams scored in 80% of the matches
Atlético Madrid has a strong record on grass with 6 wins from 10 games, whereas Levante has won only 3 of 10