La Liga
Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés
01/30/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.6
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
31%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
29%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Matchup advantage for Espanyol: Alavés' extremely weak away defense (3.0 goals conceded per game) meets a solid home team
- Differing form curves: Alavés is in better form (DLWLW) than Espanyol, which is on a negative trend with two consecutive losses
- Offensive tactics: Alavés' offensively strong style (5.6 shots on target) could lead to an open game against the counter-attacking Espanyol
Risk Factors
- Stadium Trend: The RCDE Stadium has a strong tendency for low-scoring games (only 20% of matches over 2.5 goals), which contradicts the goal predictions
- Espanyol's Form: Espanyol's negative form trend and two consecutive losses could negate their home advantage
Overview
Espanyol (5th place, 34 points) hosts Deportivo Alavés (15th place, 22 points) at the RCDE Stadium
The La Liga match will take place on January 30, 2026, at 9:00 PM
For Espanyol, it's about staying in touch with the European spots, while Alavés is trying to move further away from the relegation zone
Form
Espanyol form: WLDLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in the last 5 games)
Deportivo Alavés form: DLWLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in the last 5 games)
Alavés is in slightly better form than Espanyol, who have lost their last two matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Espanyol scores an average of 1.19 goals per game this season, while Alavés scores 0.86 goals
Defensively, Espanyol concedes an average of 1.19 goals, compared to Alavés' 1.24
A crucial factor is Alavés' weakness in away games, where they concede an average of 3.0 goals
Both teams scored in 10 of Espanyol's 21 games, while this was the case in 11 of Alavés' 21 matches
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 3 times, Deportivo Alavés won 2 times
The goal difference is 7:6 in favor of Espanyol
The last encounter was won by Deportivo Alavés with a score of 2:1
Key Players
Pere Milla is Espanyol's top scorer with 6 goals this season, supported by Carlos Romero with 4 goals and 2 assists
For Deportivo Alavés, Carlos Vicente is the most dangerous attacker with 5 goals
Toni Martínez is in good form, having scored 3 goals in his last 5 appearances
Goalkeepers
Manuel Iori has been in goal for Espanyol in recent matches; the team has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Antonio Sivera is the first-choice goalkeeper for Alavés, which has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
Alavés' glaring away weakness (averaging 3.0 goals conceded) suggests a home advantage for Espanyol
However, the history at the RCDE Stadium points to low-scoring games, with only 2.0 goals on average and a low rate of matches where both teams scored (20%)
Both teams are used to natural grass, so the surface should not have a decisive influence