La Liga
Mallorca - Sevilla
02/02/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.8
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
34%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
41%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- Striker Duel: Mallorca's in-form Vedat Muriqi (5 goals in 5 games) faces a Sevilla defense weakened by numerous absences
- Home vs. Away Weakness: Mallorca is defensively much more stable at home (1.08 goals conceded) than Sevilla is away (1.78 goals conceded)
- High-Scoring Venue: The Estadi Mallorca Son Moix has a high goal rate (3.4 per game) and an 80% BTTS rate in recent matches, suggesting an open game
Risk Factors
- Sevilla's Injury Crisis: The long list of absences and suspensions for Sevilla could unpredictably affect team chemistry and performance
- Inconsistent Form: Both teams have won only one of their last five games, making the match outcome difficult to predict
- Limited Data: The league table positions are based on incomplete match data (games played = 0), limiting their reliability
Overview
In the La Liga relegation battle, Mallorca (18th place, 21 points) hosts Sevilla (14th place, 24 points)
The match will take place on February 2, 2026, at 9:00 PM at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Mallorca aims to escape the relegation zone, while Sevilla tries to stabilize in the lower mid-table
Form
Mallorca Form: DLLWL - 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses
Sevilla Form: LLLDW - 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses
Both teams are in poor form, with each managing only one win in their last five matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Sevilla is slightly stronger with an average of 1.33 goals per game compared to Mallorca's 1.14 goals
Defensively, both teams are equally vulnerable, conceding 1.57 goals per game each
Mallorca is defensively more stable at home, conceding only 1.08 goals per game, whereas Sevilla concedes 1.78 goals away
The Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is a venue for goals: recent games averaged 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80%
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Mallorca has the edge with 2 wins, while Sevilla has won once, with 2 matches ending in a draw
The goal difference is 6:4 in favor of Mallorca
The last meeting ended in a 3:1 victory for Mallorca, suggesting a slight dominance for the home team recently
Key Players
For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi is the standout player with 14 season goals, having scored 5 goals in his last 5 appearances
Samú Costa has also contributed 3 goals this season
For Sevilla, Akor Adams is a key offensive player with 6 goals and 3 assists
Lucien Agoumé has 1 goal and 2 assists to his name
Goalkeepers
Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo Román has played in 16 matches this season
His counterpart, Odysseas Vlachodimos, has been in goal for Sevilla in 17 games
In terms of clean sheets, Sevilla has a slight edge with 4 to Mallorca's 3
Influences
The Estadi Mallorca Son Moix has recently been a high-scoring venue, averaging 3.4 goals and an 80% rate for "Both Teams to Score"
Mallorca shows a significantly stronger defense at home (1.08 goals conceded) compared to away (2.22)
Both teams have similar records on natural grass, offering no clear advantage to either side