Liga MX
Santos Laguna - América
04/05/2026, 03:10 AM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.4
1.4
1:1
14%0:0
11%0:1
11%1:2
9%0:2
8%What influences the xG?
Santos Laguna
América
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
27%
Draw
30%
Away Win
43%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
57%
Away or Draw
73%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- Favorite Role: Mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 43%, América is significantly higher in 4th place in Liga MX
- Historical Dominance: América won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Santos Laguna
- Tactical Advantage: América displayed a possession-dominant style in their last 5 games with an average of 6.6 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Form Trend: América's goal production is currently stagnant (1.2) compared to the season average (1.7), and goals conceded have increased (1.6 compared to 1.1)
- Defensive Weakness: Santos Laguna conceded an average of 2.00 goals per game this season
- Injuries: América are missing V. Dávila Zavala (Knee Injury) and D. Espinoza Acosta (Torn Lateral Collateral Ligament)
Overview
Santos Laguna (11th place, 20 points) host América (4th place, 34 points) in the Liga MX on April 5, 2026, 4:10 AM. The match promises a clash between a team from the lower half of the table and a top club in the league.
Form
Santos Laguna's form in their last five matches is DLWLW, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Santos Laguna won their last game 2-1 against Puebla. América's form in their last five matches is LLWWL, with two wins and three losses. América lost their last game 0-1 against Pumas UNAM. Santos Laguna's recent form trend is positive according to advanced statistics, while América shows a negative form trend.
Statistics
Santos Laguna has scored an average of 1.24 goals per game this season and conceded 2.00 goals. At home, they score 1.24 goals and concede 1.18 goals per home game. América is stronger offensively with an average of 1.55 goals per game and 1.03 goals conceded. Away from home, América scores an average of 1.50 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per game. Santos Laguna recorded 5 clean sheets, while América kept 11. Both teams scored in 18 of Santos Laguna's games and 15 of América's games.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, América clearly dominated, with four wins and one draw. Santos Laguna failed to win any of these matches. The goal difference in these meetings is 15:5 in favor of América. The last clash on October 5, 2025, ended in a 3-0 victory for América.
Key Players
For Santos Laguna, Lucas Di Yorio (4 goals, 3 assists) and Ezequiel Bullaude (5 goals, 1 assist) are key offensive players. Aldo López contributed 3 goals and 1 assist. For América, Brian Rodríguez stands out with 10 goals and 6 assists, as does Álex Zendejas with 8 goals and 4 assists. Raphael Veiga showed a rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Carlos Acevedo is Santos Laguna's goalkeeper and has played in 29 season matches, keeping 5 clean sheets. For América, Rodolfo Cota has appeared in 5 games. The América team kept a total of 11 clean sheets this season.
Influences
Santos Laguna scores an average of 1.24 goals at home and concedes 1.18 goals. América scores 1.50 goals away and concedes 1.29 goals per game.