La Liga
Getafe - Celta de Vigo
02/01/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
2.2
1.3
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
24%
Draw
34%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
18%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
76%
No Draw
66%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Drastic form discrepancy: Celta de Vigo arrives with 3 wins from their last 5 games, while Getafe is winless in 5 matches
- Celta's offensive superiority: The visitors score almost twice as many goals per game on average (1.38) as Getafe (0.76)
- Getafe's weak home record: The home team has a very poor record on grass (1W-2D-7L) and the absence of top scorer Borja Mayoral is a major blow
Risk Factors
- Potential fatigue for Celta: The visitors have had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could affect their performance
- Historically low-scoring matches at the venue: The Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez averages only 1.4 goals per game, favoring a tight result
- Balanced H2H record: Despite current form, the head-to-head record between the teams is even, suggesting a competitive match
Overview
Getafe, in 17th place with 22 points, hosts Celta de Vigo, who are 7th with 32 points, at the Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez
The La Liga match will take place on February 1, 2026, at 6:30 PM
Getafe is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle, while Celta de Vigo aims to stay in touch with the European places
Form
The form curves show a clear contrast
Getafe is winless in their last five games with a form of LDLLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
Celta de Vigo shows strong form with WWWLD (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Celta de Vigo is clearly superior with an average of 1.38 goals per game compared to Getafe's 0.76
Defensively, Celta de Vigo concedes an average of 1.1 goals, while Getafe concedes 1.29
Celta de Vigo is particularly strong away from home, scoring 1.44 goals per game, whereas Getafe only manages 0.8 goals at home
Getafe has failed to score in 9 of their 21 league matches this season
Head-to-Head
The historical record of the last five encounters is balanced
Both Getafe and Celta de Vigo have secured 2 wins each, with one draw
The goal difference is slightly in favor of Getafe at 8:7
The last meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for Getafe
Key Players
Luis Milla is a central player for Getafe with 7 assists this season
Mauro Arambarri has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist
For Celta de Vigo, Borja Iglesias is the top scorer with 8 seasonal goals
Iago Aspas is also a crucial factor in attack with 2 goals and 3 assists
Goalkeepers
David Soria is in goal for Getafe, having kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches
Celta de Vigo's IonuÈ Radu has kept a clean sheet 6 times in 21 appearances
Radu also has a higher average season rating (7.03 vs. 6.84)
Influences
The Coliseum Alfonso PĂ©rez is historically a low-scoring venue, with an average of only 1.4 goals in the last five matches
Both teams scored in just 20% of these games
Getafe has a poor record on natural grass with 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses
Celta de Vigo has a positive record on this surface (5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)