Liga MX
León - Atlas
04/05/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
León
Atlas
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
38%
Draw
32%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
62%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for León with a 38% probability, with a draw at 32%
- Atlas shows a vulnerable away defense, conceding an average of 2.9 goals per game on the road
- León's goal production, according to Advanced Stats, has recently been higher at 1.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.0 goals
Risk Factors
- Atlas only averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- León concedes a high average of 1.9 goals per game throughout the season
Overview
León (14th place, 13 points) hosts Atlas (6th place, 18 points) in Liga MX
The match takes place on April 5, 2026, 2:00 AM
León is in the lower third of the table, while Atlas is competing for the top spots
Form
León's form in the last 5 games is WLLLW
The team achieved 2 wins and 3 losses
Atlas' form in the last 5 games is LWLDD
They recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
León ended the last game with a win
Atlas most recently drew twice in a row
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
León scored an average of 0.93 goals and conceded 1.9 goals per game this season
Atlas scored an average of 1.31 times and conceded 1.76 goals per game
León kept 4 clean sheets, Atlas kept 6 clean sheets
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 16 of León's games, and also in 16 of Atlas' games
León scored an average of 0.95 goals at home and conceded 1.1 goals
Atlas scored 1.3 goals per away game but conceded a high 2.9 goals per away game
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, León has 2 wins, Atlas has 1 win, and there were 2 draws
León scored a total of 4 goals, Atlas also scored 4 goals
The last encounter was won by Atlas with 0:2 on October 23, 2025
Key Players
León's attacker Díber Cambindo recorded 5 goals and 1 assist in 12 season appearances, most recently 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games
Fernando Beltrán (Midfielder) contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in 26 games, with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Ismael Díaz, who contributed 7 goals and 3 assists this season, is not in the lineup
Atlas' attacker Arturo González scored 5 season goals in 24 games, including 3 goals in the last 5 games
Diego González (Attacker) has 6 goals and 6 assists in 27 season appearances
Paulo Ramírez (Midfielder) scored 2 goals in 21 games, including 1 goal in his last 5 appearances
Gustavo Henrique Ferrareis, who provided 3 assists this season, is not in the lineup
Goalkeepers
León's goalkeeper Óscar García kept 4 clean sheets this season
Atlas' goalkeeper Camilo Vargas recorded 6 clean sheets this season
Influences
León's home games show an offense of 0.95 goals and a defense of 1.1 goals conceded
Atlas concedes an average of 2.9 goals per away game
The dataset does not contain information on venue history, surface, or weather conditions