Liga MX
Juárez - Tijuana
04/11/2026, 03:06 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.6
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%What influences the xG?
Juárez
Tijuana
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
29%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Mathematical analysis forecasts a 48% probability for a home win
- Tijuana's away weakness: Tijuana concedes an average of 2.58 goals per away game
- Juárez's offensive drive: Juárez recorded an average of 4.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Fatigue for Juárez: Juárez had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Tijuana's limited offense: Tijuana recorded an average of 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Historical record: Tijuana has been more dominant in recent head-to-head encounters
Overview
Juárez (8th place, 23 points) hosts Tijuana (7th place, 24 points) in Liga MX
The match is scheduled for April 11, 2026, 4:06 AM
This encounter promises to be a balanced clash in the mid-table
Form
Juárez's form across all competitions is LDWDD
This means 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games
Their last result was a 1:1 draw against Querétaro
Juárez has drawn twice in a row
Tijuana's form is LLWLW
This indicates 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five games
Tijuana won their last match 1:0 against Tigres UANL
Statistics
Juárez scores an average of 1.5 goals per game this season and concedes 1.65 goals
Tijuana scores an average of 1.45 goals per game and concedes 1.3 goals
Juárez had 27 games where both teams scored, Tijuana had 16 such games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 22 Juárez matches and 17 Tijuana matches
At home, Juárez scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 1.35 goals
Away, Tijuana scores an average of 1.5 goals but concedes a high 2.58 goals per game
Head-to-Head
There have been 5 head-to-head matches between Juárez and Tijuana
Tijuana won 2 of these encounters, while Juárez won 1
2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is 7:5 in favor of Tijuana
The last meeting saw Tijuana win 3:1 on November 21, 2025
Tijuana has been more dominant in recent direct clashes
Key Players
For Juárez, these players could be crucial
Óscar Estupiñán (Attacker): 14 season goals, 3 assists; 2 goals in last 5 games, form is declining
José Luis Rodríguez (Attacker): 4 season goals, 8 assists, form is stable
Monchu (Midfielder): 1 season goal; 1 goal in last 5 games, form is stable
For Tijuana, these players stand out
Kevin Castañeda (Midfielder): 12 season goals, 7 assists; 3 goals in last 5 games, form is stable
Ramiro Árciga (Midfielder): 2 season goals, 7 assists; 1 assist in last 5 games, form is stable
Alejandro Gómez (Defender): 2 season goals; 1 goal in last 5 games, form is rising
Goalkeepers
The goalkeeper for Juárez is Sebastián Jurado
Juárez's team has achieved 3 clean sheets this season
Antonio Rodríguez is Tijuana's goalkeeper
Antonio Rodríguez has an average season rating of 7.17
Tijuana's team has achieved 12 clean sheets this season
Influences
Juárez shows an average home offense of 1.5 goals per game
Their defense concedes an average of 1.35 home goals
Tijuana scores an average of 1.5 goals away from home
Tijuana's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.58 goals per game