Liga MX
Querétaro - Necaxa
04/11/2026, 11:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
10%1:2
6%3:1
5%What influences the xG?
Querétaro
Necaxa
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
27%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Mathematical analysis favors Querétaro with a win probability of 52%
- Querétaro's home strength with an average of 0.9 goals conceded per home game meets Necaxa's away weakness with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per away game
- Necaxa enters this encounter in good form with two consecutive wins
Risk Factors
- Querétaro had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Querétaro averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Necaxa proved to be the more dominant team in the last 5 head-to-head matches, remaining undefeated against Querétaro
Overview
Querétaro (12th place, 20 points) host Necaxa (11th place, 16 points) in a Liga MX encounter on April 11, 2026, 5:00 PM
The match promises a mid-table clash
Form
Querétaro's form in the last five games is LDDWD
This corresponds to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Their last appearance ended in a draw
Necaxa, on the other hand, shows a form of LLDWW
They have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Necaxa enters this match with two consecutive wins
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Querétaro averages 0.97 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.53 goals
Necaxa has an offensive record of 1.33 goals and a defensive record of 1.63 goals conceded per game
At home, Querétaro scores an average of 0.95 goals and concedes an average of 0.9 goals
Necaxa scores an average of 1.33 goals away and concedes an average of 2.2 goals
Querétaro kept a clean sheet in 8 season games, Necaxa in 3 matches
Both teams scored in 13 Querétaro games and 18 Necaxa games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 15 Querétaro games and 17 Necaxa games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro has not won a game, while Necaxa won 2 matches and 3 ended in a draw
Necaxa scored 7 goals in these encounters, Querétaro 3 goals
The last encounter on July 19, 2025, was won by Necaxa away with a score of 3-1
Necaxa has recently proven to be the dominant team in direct duels
Key Players
For Querétaro, Alí Ávila stands out with 9 season goals and scored 2 goals in the last 5 games
Santiago Homenchenko showed presence with 5 season goals
Jhojan Julio contributed with 4 season goals and 3 assists, including 2 assists in the last 5 games
For Necaxa, Javier Ruiz is particularly noteworthy with 5 season goals and 1 assist, scoring 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches
Tomás Badaloni scored 6 season goals and 2 assists, including 1 goal in the last 5 games
Lorenzo Faravelli provided 2 assists this season and in the last 5 games
Not nominated for Necaxa are Kevin Rosero (2G/3A) and Franco Rossano (0G/4A)
Goalkeepers
For Querétaro, José Hernández was in goal for 9 season games, and the team achieved 8 clean sheets
Necaxa's goalkeeper Ezequiel Unsain played in 30 season games, with his team recording 3 clean sheets
Influences
Querétaro shows a solid home defense with an average of 0.9 goals conceded
Necaxa concedes an average of 2.2 goals away, indicating vulnerability on the road