Liga MX
América - Cruz Azul
04/12/2026, 03:05 AM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.2
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
11%0:1
10%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
América
Cruz Azul
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
32%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Slight favorite role for América with a home win probability of 38%
- Cruz Azul shows a stable and consistent goal production of 1.9 goals per game on average
- América's recent goal production has decreased to an average of 1.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.6 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Recent head-to-head encounters between América and Cruz Azul have been even, with no clear favorite
- Both teams show a possession-dominant playing style according to tactical metrics (América 66%, Cruz Azul 58%), which could lead to a contested midfield
Overview
América (4th place, 34 points) hosts Cruz Azul (2nd place, 27 points) in Liga MX. The match takes place on April 12, 2026, 5:05 AM. América aims to solidify its position in the upper ranks, while Cruz Azul seeks to collect important points in the fight for the top spots.
Form
América's form across all competitions is LWWLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their last match ended in a draw. Cruz Azul shows a form of WWDDL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), with their last match being a loss. América's recent form shows a negative trend in goal production with 1.2 goals recently compared to 1.6 on average for the season. Cruz Azul scores consistently with approximately 1.9 goals per game, indicating a stable form trend.
Statistics
América averages 1.53 goals scored per game and concedes 1.03 goals. At home, they score 1.5 goals and concede 0.78 goals per game. Cruz Azul averages 1.79 goals scored and concedes 1.12 goals. Away from home, Cruz Azul scores 1.8 goals and concedes 1.33 goals per game. América kept 11 clean sheets, while Cruz Azul achieved 10 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 16 of América's games and 23 of Cruz Azul's games. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 15 América matches and 19 Cruz Azul matches.
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, América secured 2 wins, Cruz Azul 2 wins, and there was 1 draw. Both teams scored 7 goals each. The last encounter on October 19, 2025, ended in a 1:2 away win for Cruz Azul. Recent direct encounters have been even.
Key Players
América: Brian Rodríguez, with 10 goals and 6 assists this season and an average rating of 7.25. Álex Zendejas contributed 8 goals and 4 assists, with a rating of 7.3. Patricio Salas scored 1 goal and 2 assists and has a rating of 6.81. Not nominated for América are Raphael Veiga (2 goals, 2 assists), Kevin Álvarez (1 goal, 1 assist), and Érick Sánchez (2 goals, 0 assists). Cruz Azul: José Paradela scored 8 goals and 7 assists this season with a rating of 7.15. Carlos Rodríguez has 7 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 7.31. Agustín Palavecino contributed 4 goals and 3 assists and has a rating of 7.48.
Goalkeepers
América's goalkeeper Rodolfo Cota had 11 clean sheets this season. Cruz Azul's goalkeeper Andrés Gudiño achieved 10 clean sheets.
Influences
América shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.78 goals conceded. Cruz Azul scores an average of 1.8 goals and concedes 1.33 goals when playing away.