Liga MX
Pachuca - Santos Laguna
04/12/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
11%2:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Pachuca
Santos Laguna
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
29%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- Pachuca is in good form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
- Santos Laguna concedes an average of 3.17 goals per away game
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 50% for Pachuca
Risk Factors
- Santos Laguna concedes an average of 3.17 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Pachuca's forward Salomón Rondón shows a slightly declining form trend
- Santos Laguna is missing C. Gruezo Arboleda (Thigh Muscle Strain) and K. Picón Álvarez (Red Card Suspension)
Overview
Pachuca (4th place, 25 points) host Santos Laguna (11th place, 20 points) in Liga MX on April 12, 2026, 3:00 AM. The home team aims to solidify their table position and maintain the gap to the top spots. Santos Laguna, on the other hand, is trying to move away from the relegation zone and collect more crucial points.
Form
Pachuca shows good form with 'WWDDW' in their last five games across all competitions, which corresponds to 3 wins and 2 draws. Pachuca won their last match away against Cruz Azul with a 2-1 score. Santos Laguna, however, has inconsistent form with 'LWLWD' from their last five fixtures, meaning 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last game ended in a 1-1 draw at home against América. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Pachuca averages 1.31 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 1.29 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded. Overall, Pachuca kept 7 clean sheets, 4 of them at home. Both teams scored in 17 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 16 matches. Santos Laguna averages 1.23 goals scored and an alarming 1.97 goals conceded per game. Away, they score 1.25 goals and concede 3.17 goals per game. Santos Laguna kept 5 clean sheets this season, but none away from home. Both teams scored in 19 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 22 matches. Pachuca is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals), indicating a positive trend. Santos Laguna is scoring consistently (around 1.2 goals per game), showing stable form.
Head-to-Head
In the 5 head-to-head matches played so far, Pachuca secured 3 wins, there was 1 draw, and Santos Laguna won once. The goal difference is 8:5 in favor of Pachuca. The last encounter on November 9, 2025, ended with a 0-1 away win for Santos Laguna.
Key Players
For Pachuca, Kenedy and Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán show stable to rising form. Kenedy scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.11. Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 matches, improving his rating to 7.20. Salomón Rondón showed strong attacking presence with 3 goals in his last 5 games, however, his form is slightly declining. For Santos Laguna, Ezequiel Bullaude stands out with 3 goals in the last 5 games and a rising form with an average rating of 7.28. Lucas Di Yorio showed stable form with 1 goal and 3 assists in the last 5 games, while Javier Güemez provided an assist and improved his rating to 7.06.
Goalkeepers
Pachuca's goalkeeper, Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna, made 31 appearances this season and showed stable form with a rating of 6.98 in his last 5 games. He kept 7 clean sheets. For Santos Laguna, Carlos Acevedo was in goal 30 times and also showed stable form with a rating of 6.96 in his last 4 games. He kept 5 clean sheets, none of which were away from home.
Influences
Pachuca has a good record in home games, averaging 1.29 goals scored and only 0.88 goals conceded. Santos Laguna, on the other hand, has a very weak away record, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 3.17 goals conceded. There is no venue history or weather data available that could influence the match.