La Liga
Osasuna - Villarreal
01/31/2026, 03:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.8
1.5
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
33%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
30%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Contrasting form: Osasuna is unbeaten in recent games, while Villarreal is in a crisis with four consecutive losses and a negative form trend
- Home strength vs. Away weakness: Osasuna is extremely solid defensively at home (0.69 goals conceded/game), while Villarreal is vulnerable away (1.5 goals conceded/game)
- Fatigue factor: Villarreal has a much shorter recovery time of just 3 days compared to Osasuna's 7, which could be a decisive disadvantage
Risk Factors
- Villarreal's offensive slump: Villarreal's recent goal production has dropped sharply to 0.8 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.6
- Historical record: Despite their poor current form, Villarreal has a strong head-to-head record against Osasuna, being unbeaten in the last 5 encounters
- Tactical stalemate: Both teams prefer a counter-attacking style with low possession, which could lead to a neutralizing and low-scoring game
Overview
Osasuna, in 9th place with 25 points, hosts Villarreal, who are in 4th place with 41 points
The La Liga match will take place on January 31, 2026, at 4:15 PM at the Estadio El Sadar
Villarreal is aiming to secure a Champions League spot, while Osasuna is positioned safely in the middle of the table
Form
Osasuna form: DLDWW - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
Villarreal form: WLLLL - 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses
The form trends are opposing: Osasuna is unbeaten in two games, while Villarreal is on a four-game losing streak (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Villarreal is stronger with an average of 1.85 goals per game compared to Osasuna's 1.14
Defensively, Villarreal is slightly more stable with 1.05 goals conceded per game, versus Osasuna's 1.19
Osasuna's home strength is notable, conceding only 0.69 goals per game at the Estadio El Sadar
Villarreal is very dangerous away, scoring an average of 1.75 goals, but also more vulnerable with 1.5 goals conceded
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna has not secured a win, while Villarreal won 3 times and 2 games ended in a draw
The goal difference favors Villarreal with 12:7 goals
The last encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Villarreal
Villarreal is listed as the recently dominant team in direct meetings
Key Players
For Osasuna, Ante Budimir is the top scorer with 9 goals this season, while RubĂšn GarcĂa has contributed 4 assists
For Villarreal, Alberto Moleiro is the top scorer with 8 goals, supported by Georges Mikautadze and Gerard Moreno with 5 goals each
Goalkeepers
Osasuna's goalkeeper Sergio Herrera has kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches this season
Villarreal's Luiz JĂșnior has 7 clean sheets in 17 appearances this season
Influences
Osasuna's home advantage is evident in their strong defensive record, with only 0.69 goals conceded per home game
At the Estadio El Sadar, there is an average of 3.2 goals per game, and both teams score in 60% of the matches
Both teams play on natural grass, with Osasuna having a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses on this surface