Liga MX
Mazatlán - Querétaro
04/18/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.2
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
11%0:1
10%2:1
7%What influences the xG?
Mazatlán
Querétaro
League
The Lab
- 1Querétaro with Jean Unjanque: 4.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 2Mazatlán with Billy Arce: 6.8 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Querétaro: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)
- 4Mazatlán: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5Querétaro: 70% of xG value comes in the first half (last 7 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
33%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
67%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: A home win is calculated with a 34% probability, a draw with 33%, and an away win with 33%
- Form advantage: Querétaro shows significantly better form with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games compared to Mazatlán (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
- Offensive improvement: Querétaro is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 1.7 goals per game than their season average (1.1)
Risk Factors
- Querétaro concedes an average of 2.8 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Mazatlán concedes an average of 1.84 goals per game (goalsConcededAvg)
- The pipeline prediction indicates a very tight result with no clear favorite
Overview
Mazatlán (16th place, 14 points) hosts Querétaro (12th place, 20 points) in a Liga MX match on April 17, 2026, 8:00 PM
The hosts are trying to move out of the relegation zone
Querétaro aims to close the gap to the playoff spots
Form
Mazatlán's recent form in their last five matches is WLDLL
This translates to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Querétaro, on the other hand, shows better form with DDWDW in their last five games
This means 2 wins and 3 draws without a loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Mazatlán scores an average of 1.16 goals per game and concedes 1.84 goals
At home, they average 1.14 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded
Querétaro averages 1.03 goals scored and 1.52 goals conceded
Away from home, Querétaro scores 1.0 goals and concedes 2.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 23 of Mazatlán's matches, while this happened in 14 of Querétaro's games
Mazatlán achieved 2 clean sheets in 31 games, while Querétaro kept 8 clean sheets
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, the record is even with 2 wins for Mazatlán and 2 wins for Querétaro
One match ended in a draw
The goal difference in these games is 7:4 in favor of Mazatlán
Querétaro won the last encounter 1-0 on November 2, 2025
Key Players
For Mazatlán, Josué Ovalle (5 goals, 1 assist) and Brian Rubio (2 goals) are in good form
Facundo Almada contributed 6 goals and 2 assists
For Querétaro, Alí Ávila with 9 goals and Mateo Coronel with 5 goals are key attacking players
Santiago Homenchenko also showed goal-scoring ability with 6 goals
Goalkeepers
Mazatlán's goalkeeper Ricardo Rodríguez has scored no goals or assists in 14 season appearances
Mazatlán achieved 2 clean sheets this season
Querétaro's goalkeeper José Hernández, who had no goals or assists in 10 season appearances, helped his team to 8 clean sheets
Influences
Mazatlán scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.33 goals at home
Querétaro scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes 2.8 goals per game away from home