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Liga MX

León - América

04/22/2026, 03:06 AM

2 : 3
Expected Goals
León
1.1
Total xG
2.2
América
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

11%

0:1

10%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
LEÓAMÉ

León

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.16
Rising form (1.6 vs 1.1 season average)
+0.16
Juan Domínguez not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Strong home record (1.5 vs 1.1 goals/match)

América

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.13
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.13
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.6 season average)
-0.13
Patricio Salas on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1.1 vs 1.6 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.40
+0.40
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    América with Ramón Juárez: 2.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    León: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 3
    León with Jordi Cortizo: 4.6 goals/90 min. Without: 1.4 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    América: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

  • 5
    León: 67% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

35%

Draw

33%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

65%

No Draw

67%

Both Score

Yes

46%

No

54%

Key Factors
  • León's Strong Form: The team won 4 of their last 5 games, with a positive trend of 1.6 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.1
  • América's Offensive Dip: América's goal production has slowed recently to 1.2 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.6 goals
  • Head-to-Head Record: América dominated the last five direct encounters with three wins and two draws, holding a 7:2 goal advantage
Risk Factors
  • Short Recovery Time: Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • León's Defense: León concedes an average of 1.75 goals per game this season
Overview

León (8th place, 22 points) hosts Club América (4th place, 34 points) in a Liga MX match

The game is scheduled for April 22, 2026, 4:06 AM

América aims to solidify its top table position, while León seeks to close the gap to the playoff spots

Form

León is in excellent form with a LWWWW streak in their last five matches

The team secured four wins and one loss, including four consecutive victories

Their most recent result was a 3-1 win against Juárez

América's last five games show a WLDDW streak

This includes two wins, two draws, and one loss

Their most recent success was a 2-1 victory over Toluca

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

León averages 1.03 goals scored per game and concedes 1.75 goals per game this season

At home, they average 1.04 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 16 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 17 matches

América averages 1.53 goals scored per game and 1.03 goals conceded per game this season

Away from home, América averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 18 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 16 matches

Head-to-Head

In the last five head-to-head encounters, América dominated with three wins and two draws

León failed to secure any victories in these five matches

América scored seven goals in these meetings, while León managed two goals

The last duel on November 2, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for América

Key Players

For León, Ismael Díaz is a key player with 10 goals and 5 assists in 25 appearances, showing rising form

Díber Cambindo contributed 6 goals and 2 assists in 15 games and is in stable form

Fernando Beltrán (2 goals, 2 assists in 29 appearances) is also in rising form

For América, Brian Rodríguez shines with 12 goals and 6 assists in 34 appearances and rising form

Álex Zendejas scored 8 goals and 6 assists in 24 games, but his form is declining

Isaías Violante showed 1 goal and 4 assists in 20 games and is in rising form

Goalkeepers

León's goalkeeper Óscar García has made 26 appearances

The home team recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Rodolfo Cota was in goal for América in 8 matches

The away team achieved a total of 11 clean sheets

Influences

León averaged 1.04 goals scored at home and conceded 1.00 goals per home game

América showed an average offense of 1.57 goals while conceding 1.36 goals per away game

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