Liga MX
América - Atlas
04/26/2026, 03:10 AM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
12%2:0
10%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
América
Atlas
League
The Lab
- 1América: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2América with Kevin Álvarez: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
46%
Draw
31%
Away Win
23%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
77%
Away or Draw
54%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Key Factors
- América's Home Strength: The mathematical model predicts a home win with 46% probability
- Historical Dominance: América won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atlas, scoring 16 goals
- Atlas's Defensive Vulnerability: The team concedes an average of 2.58 goals per away game
Risk Factors
- Short Recovery Time for Atlas: The away team had only 3 days since their last match
- Limited Offensive Production from Atlas: The team averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
América (4th place, 34 points) hosts Atlas (8th place, 23 points) in a Liga MX match
The game is scheduled for April 26, 2026, 4:00 AM
América aims to solidify its top league position, while Atlas seeks to improve towards playoff spots
Form
América's form in the last five games is LDDWW
The team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss during this period
They have won their last two matches consecutively
According to advanced statistics, América's goal production has recently declined to 1.4 goals, compared to a season average of 1.7 goals
Atlas shows a form of DLDWD in their last five encounters
This translates to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Atlas's goal production has recently dropped to 0.5 goals, with a season average of 1.3 goals
Statistics
América averages 1.57 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.06 goals
At home, these values improve to an average of 1.58 goals scored and only 0.84 goals conceded
América has kept 7 clean sheets in home games
Atlas averages 1.18 goals scored per game and concedes 1.61 goals
Atlas's defense is vulnerable away from home, with an average of 2.58 goals conceded per game
Overall, both teams scored in 19 of América's games and 17 of Atlas's games
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 17 of América's games and 16 of Atlas's games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América dominated with 4 wins compared to 0 for Atlas
One match ended in a draw
The goal difference in these fixtures is 16:5 in favor of América
América won the last encounter at home with a score of 4:2 on August 25, 2025
Key Players
For América, Brian Rodríguez is a crucial player with 13 goals and 6 assists this season
His form shows a rising trend with 3 goals in his last 4 appearances
Álex Zendejas contributes to the offense with 9 goals and 6 assists, and recorded 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games
Érick Sánchez is important in midfield with 3 season goals and 1 goal in his last 4 appearances
For Atlas, Diego González is a key player with 6 goals and 6 assists this season
Manuel Capasso, a defender, scored 2 season goals, including 1 in his last 5 appearances, and shows a rising form
Paulo Ramírez contributed 2 goals this season
Goalkeepers
Rodolfo Cota of América made 9 appearances as goalkeeper this season
América has kept a total of 11 clean sheets this season, with 7 of those at home
Camilo Vargas of Atlas played in 30 games this season
Atlas managed to keep 9 clean sheets this season, 2 of which were away from home
Influences
América shows solid performance at home with an average of 1.58 goals scored and only 0.84 goals conceded
Atlas, however, has a very vulnerable defense away from home, conceding an average of 2.58 goals per game