La Liga
Real Betis - Valencia
02/01/2026, 03:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.6
1.4
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
30%
Away Win
42%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
58%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Matchup advantage: Real Betis's strong home record (1.67 goals per game) meets Valencia's extremely vulnerable away defense (3.14 goals conceded per game)
- Contrasting form: Valencia arrives with the momentum of three consecutive wins, while Real Betis's goal production has recently stalled according to analysis
- Fatigue factor: Real Betis has only had 3 days since their last match, which could be a significant disadvantage compared to Valencia's 8 days of rest
Risk Factors
- Betis's injury concerns: The absence of top scorers J. HernĂĄndez SuĂĄrez (8 goals) and A. Ruibal GarcĂa (4 goals) could weaken the attack
- Low goal threat: Both teams average few shots on target (Betis 3.8, Valencia 3.6), which could point to a low-scoring game
- Statistical anomaly: Valencia's extremely high number of away goals conceded (3.14 per game) is a statistical outlier that may not reflect their true defensive strength
Overview
Real Betis (6th place, 32 points) hosts Valencia (15th place, 23 points) at the Estadio de La Cartuja. The La Liga match will take place on February 1, 2026, at 4:15 PM. It's a clash between two mid-table teams, where Betis will look to solidify their position in the top half, while Valencia aims to move further away from the relegation zone.
Form
Valencia is in better form with a 3-game winning streak. Their form in the last five games is LDWWW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Real Betis, on the other hand, shows more inconsistent form with WWLLW (3 wins, 2 losses). W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Real Betis is stronger offensively, scoring an average of 1.62 goals per game, while Valencia averages 1.05. Betis is particularly dominant at home, with 1.67 goals scored and only 0.92 conceded per game. Valencia is extremely vulnerable away, conceding an average of 3.14 goals per game. Both teams scored in 13 of Real Betis's 21 games, while for Valencia this happened in 12 of 21 games.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, Real Betis has a slight edge with 2 wins to Valencia's 1, with 2 matches ending in a draw. The goal difference from these matches is 9-7 in favor of Real Betis. The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw.
Key Players
For Real Betis, Cucho HernĂĄndez (8 season goals, 3 assists), Antony (5 season goals, 4 assists), and Pablo Fornals (5 season goals, 4 assists) are crucial. For Valencia, the key offensive players are Hugo Duro with 7 season goals, and Arnaut Danjuma with 3 goals and 2 assists.
Goalkeepers
For Real Betis, Pau LĂłpez has made 8 appearances this season. The team has kept a total of 7 clean sheets. For Valencia, Stole Dimitrievski has 3 appearances. Valencia has kept 5 clean sheets this season.
Influences
The home advantage for Real Betis is statistically significant, based on their strong home defensive record (0.92 goals conceded per game) compared to Valencia's weak away defense (3.14 goals conceded per game). The Estadio de La Cartuja sees an average of 3.0 goals per game. Both teams have a positive record on natural grass surfaces.