La Liga
Atlético de Madrid - Real Betis
02/08/2026, 05:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
1.8
0.7
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
35%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
15%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
65%
Both Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Key Factors
- Critical Absences: Both teams are missing key players, severely impacting their attacking power. Atlético has only 34% of its goal production available, Betis has 50%
- Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: Atlético's extremely strong home defense (0.47 goals conceded/game) meets Betis's vulnerable away defense (1.78 goals conceded/game)
- Contrasting Form Trends: Atlético's offense shows a positive trend (2.5 recent goals), while Betis's goal production has significantly dropped (from 1.9 to 0.8 goals)
Risk Factors
- Unpredictable Offense: Due to numerous absences on both sides, the goal-scoring threat is difficult to assess, which could lead to an unexpected match flow
- Fatigue: Both teams have had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could affect performance and intensity
Overview
Atlético Madrid (3rd place, 45 points) hosts Real Betis (5th place, 35 points) at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano
The La Liga match will take place on February 8, 2026, at 6:30 PM
It's a clash between two teams from the upper half of the table, with Atlético trying to keep pace with the leaders
Form
Atlético Madrid form: DWLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last 5 games, there have been 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Real Betis form: LLWWL
The team has recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Atlético Madrid's form is slightly more stable than that of Real Betis
Statistics
Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.73 goals per game this season and concedes 0.77
Real Betis averages 1.64 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded per game
At home, Atlético is particularly strong, conceding only 0.47 goals per game
Real Betis is more vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.78 goals
Atlético Madrid kept a clean sheet in 10 of 22 games, Real Betis in 7 of 22
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid has won 4 times, while Real Betis has secured 1 victory
Atlético Madrid scored a total of 13 goals in these encounters, Real Betis scored 3 goals
The last meeting was won by Atlético Madrid with a score of 5-0
Atlético Madrid shows clear dominance in recent encounters
Key Players
Alexander Sørloth has scored 7 season goals and shows a rising form trend
Julián Alvarez also has 7 goals, but his form trend is declining
Giuliano Simeone has contributed 2 goals and 5 assists, with a rising form
Cucho Hernández is Betis' top scorer with 8 season goals and is in good form
Pablo Fornals has 6 goals and 4 assists, his form is declining
Goalkeepers
Jan Oblak is in goal for Atlético Madrid and has kept 10 clean sheets this season
Álvaro Valles is expected for Real Betis; the team has a total of 7 clean sheets
Influences
Atlético Madrid has a strong home record, averaging 1.73 goals scored and only 0.47 goals conceded per game
Matches at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano average 2.4 goals
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 60% of the games at this stadium
Both teams are used to grass surfaces, which presents no particular advantage