Friendly International
Slovenia - Cyprus
06/04/2026, 04:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.8
1.0
1:1
12%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Slovenia
Cyprus
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
56%
Draw
26%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
44%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis favors Slovenia with a 56% home win probability
- Head-to-Head Record: Slovenia has secured 3 wins in 4 direct encounters against Cyprus
- Offensive Potential: Stadion Stožice shows high goal potential with an average of 3.8 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Slovenia is without B. Šeško (Leg Injury) and I. Vekič (Unknown Injury)
- Limited data: Cyprus is missing xG data for 4 of their last 5 matches, indicating restricted advanced metrics
- Small sample size: Both teams have only played 2 season games, limiting the significance of season averages
Overview
Slovenia hosts Cyprus in a Friendly International match at Stadion Stožice on June 4, 2026, 6:00 PM. The mathematical analysis places Slovenia as favorites with a home win probability of 56%.
Form
Slovenia's form in their last two matches is W L (1 win, 1 loss). Their most recent result was a 3-2 victory against Montenegro. Cyprus's form in their last four games is D L L W (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses). Cyprus also secured a 3-2 victory in their last match against Moldova.
Statistics
Slovenia has averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game this season. Cyprus also averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game. The pipeline analysis predicts 1.82 expected home goals for Slovenia and 0.96 expected away goals for Cyprus. Stadion Stožice has seen an average of 3.8 goals per game in its last five matches. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
In the four past head-to-head encounters, Slovenia has been dominant, securing three wins. Cyprus won one match. Slovenia scored a total of 6 goals, while Cyprus scored 3 goals. The last meeting on November 14, 2021, ended in a 2-1 victory for Slovenia.
Key Players
For Slovenia, Zan Vipotnik (2 season goals) and Danijel Sturm (1 season goal, 1 assist) are key offensive players. Jaka Bijol shows a rising form trend with an average rating of 6.94 in his last five games. For Cyprus, Charalampos Charalampous (2 season goals) and Grigoris Kastanos (1 season goal) stand out. Panagiotis Andreou shows a rising form with an average rating of 6.71 in his last five games.
Goalkeepers
Slovenia's goalkeeper, Jan Oblak, achieved an average rating of 7.44 in his last three games. For Cyprus, goalkeeper Fabiano played in the last two games and recorded an average rating of 6.91.
Influences
The match will be played at Stadion Stožice on grass. The venue has historically shown an increased goal production with an average of 3.8 goals per game. In 60% of recent matches, both teams scored, and 60% of matches ended with over 2.5 goals.