La Liga
Deportivo Alavés - Getafe
02/08/2026, 01:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.1
0.7
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
27%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
16%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Alavés is very strong defensively at home (0.73 goals conceded/game), while Getafe is extremely vulnerable away (1.64 goals conceded/game)
- Form curve: The form of both teams is worlds apart. Alavés has won 3 of their last 5 games, while Getafe is winless in 5 matches
- Getafe's offensive problem: With only 0.73 goals per game and an expected goals average of 0.59 in recent games, Getafe lacks firepower
Risk Factors
- Historical record: Despite current form, Getafe has a positive head-to-head record against Alavés in recent encounters
- Low goal threat: Both teams score less than one goal per game on average, making a low-scoring and unpredictable match likely
- Missing key players: Both teams will be without important goalscorers (Carlos Vicente for Alavés, Borja Mayoral for Getafe), which further weakens their offensive power
Overview
Deportivo Alavés (10th place, 25 points) hosts Getafe (16th place, 23 points) at the Estadio de Mendizorroza. The La Liga match will take place on February 8, 2026, at 2:00 PM. Alavés is looking to solidify their position in the mid-table, while Getafe urgently needs points in the relegation battle.
Form
Deportivo Alavés: WLWWL - 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Getafe: DLLDD - 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Alavés is in significantly better form, while Getafe has been waiting for a victory for five games.
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Offensively, Alavés is slightly stronger with 0.91 goals per game compared to Getafe's 0.73. Defensively, both teams are level with 1.23 goals conceded per game. The key difference lies in their home and away records: Alavés is very solid at home, conceding only 0.73 goals per game, while Getafe is much more vulnerable on the road, allowing 1.64 goals per game.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Getafe has the upper hand with 3 wins, one loss, and one draw. The goal difference is 5:2 in favor of Getafe. The last meeting ended in a 1:1 draw.
Key Players
For Deportivo Alavés, Lucas Boyé (5 season goals, 1 assist) and Carlos Vicente (5 season goals) are the top scorers, supported by Toni Martínez (4 goals, 2 assists). For Getafe, Luis Milla is the main creator with 7 season assists, while Mauro Arambarri provides a threat from midfield with 3 goals.
Goalkeepers
Deportivo Alavés' goalkeeper is Antonio Sivera, who has kept 3 clean sheets in 22 season matches. Getafe's goalkeeper is David Soria, who has managed 5 clean sheets in 22 games.
Influences
The match will be played on a grass surface at Estadio de Mendizorroza. Alavés has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses on this surface. In contrast, Getafe has struggled away on grass, winning only 1 of 10 matches (3 draws, 6 losses). The stadium's statistics suggest a moderate number of goals, with an average of 2.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 60% of matches.