Match report →
Nigeria – Zimbabwe2 : 0
Why the model thinks so
Nigeria
1.89
Total xG
2.96
Zimbabwe
1.06
Expected goals from our model, before kickoff
Key factors
- Nigeria's offense is critically weakened by the absence of Moses Simon, with 0% of the usual starting XI goal contribution available
- Nigeria is the favorite according to mathematical analysis, with a 55% win probability
- Nigeria's historical dominance in direct encounters with 2 wins and 0 losses in 4 meetings
Risks
- Limited data for Zimbabwe, as no current season or form statistics are available
- Venue statistics are based on only one game and are therefore of limited informative value
All probabilities
Result
Nigeria55%
Draw25%
Zimbabwe20%
Goals
Over 1.581%
Under 1.519%
Over 2.557%
Under 2.543%
Over 3.534%
Under 3.566%
Double chance
Nigeria or draw80%
Zimbabwe or draw45%
No draw75%
Both teams score
Yes57%
No43%
Most likely scores
1:1
12%
2:1
10%
2:0
9%
3:1
6%
3:0
6%
The Lab
Patterns our system found in the data.
- Nigeria: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 5 games)
Lineups
Nigeria 4-3-3 · Zimbabwe 3-4-3
Nigeria
- 16 A. Okonkwo
- 2 C. Oputa
- 6 C. Nwaiwu
- 5 I. Ogbu
- 3 K. Igboke
- 4 A. Yusuf
- 8 T. Nadi
- 14 S. Tijani
- 9 T. Moffi
- 7 F. Azeez
- 20 P. Otele
Zimbabwe
- 22 F. Sibanda
- 17 C. Mthunzi
- 4 M. Garananga
- 12 S. Maroodza
- 11 S. Fusire
- 18 M. Nakamba
- 6 J. Fabisch
- 3 J. Zemura
- 8 M. Munetsi
- 20 J. Zindoga
- 10 T. Chirewa
Substitutes
- 18 O. Oseni
- 17 R. Durosinmi
- 1 F. Uzoho
- 11 T. Oyedokun
- 13 O. Elias
- 23 M. Atata
- 19 A. Adekunle
- 22 T. Al-Ameen
- 19 P. Padera
- 2 G. Takwara
- 21 G. Murwira
- 23 E. Jalai
- 5 I. Mauchi
- 16 M. Tavaziva
- 9 W. Navaya
- 13 D. Msendami
- 7 T. Mongameli
- 15 A. Moffat
Ready to Get Started?
Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.
Create Account →