Friendly International
Nigeria - Zimbabwe
05/26/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.0
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%3:0
6%The Lab
- 1Nigeria: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 5 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
25%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Nigeria's offense is critically weakened by the absence of Moses Simon, with 0% of the usual starting XI goal contribution available
- Nigeria is the favorite according to mathematical analysis, with a 55% win probability
- Nigeria's historical dominance in direct encounters with 2 wins and 0 losses in 4 meetings
Risk Factors
- Limited data for Zimbabwe, as no current season or form statistics are available
- Venue statistics are based on only one game and are therefore of limited informative value
Overview
Nigeria hosts Zimbabwe in a Friendly International match
The game takes place on May 26, 2026, 7:30 PM, at The Valley
According to the mathematical analysis, Nigeria has the highest win probability at 55%
Form
Nigeria's form is DDLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last 5 matches, Nigeria recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Nigeria recently played 1 draw
No data is available for Zimbabwe's current form in the last 5 games
Statistics
Nigeria has scored an average of 2.0 goals per game this season and conceded 1.5 goals
Nigeria kept 0 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 2 out of 2 games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in both matches
Venue statistics at The Valley show an average of 6.0 goals per game
In all 1 documented matches at The Valley, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored
Head-to-Head
Nigeria and Zimbabwe have met in 4 direct encounters
Nigeria won 2 matches, there were 2 draws, and Zimbabwe has not won any game
Nigeria scored a total of 10 goals, while Zimbabwe scored 3 goals
The last meeting on March 25, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
Nigeria proved to be the dominant team at home in recent direct duels
Key Players
Nigeria:
Defender Chibuike Nwaiwu shows a rising form trend with an average rating of 6.70 in the last 5 games
Defender Igoh Ogbu has stable form with an average rating of 6.22 in his last 3 games
Attacker Philip Otele shows a declining form trend with a rating of 6.01 in his last 3 appearances
Zimbabwe:
Midfielder Marshall Munetsi scored 3 goals in his last 5 games and achieved an average rating of 7.11
Defender Jordan Zemura had an average rating of 6.72 in 4 appearances over the last 5 games
Defender Munashe Garananga recorded an average rating of 6.49 in 1 of his last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Arthur Okonkwo is expected in goal for Nigeria, the team has kept 0 clean sheets this season
Corbin Mthunzi is expected for Zimbabwe
No specific goalkeeper statistics are available for Corbin Mthunzi
Influences
The match will be played on a grass surface at The Valley
Venue history shows a high average of 6.0 goals per game based on one match
In this one match, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were recorded