Friendly International
Peru - Spain
06/09/2026, 02:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.7
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
Peru
Spain
League
The Lab
- 1Spain with Ălex Baena: 0.7 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Spain: 4 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (80% win rate)
- 3Spain: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Peru with JesĂșs Pretell: 1 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 5Peru: 2 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (4 points rescued)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
29%
Away Win
37%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
63%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Spain has a slightly higher win probability of 37% compared to 34% for Peru
- Spain's Defense: Only 0.33 goals conceded per game and 2 clean sheets on season average
- Tactical Dominance: Spain in the last 5 matches possession-dominant (66%) and averaged 6.8 shots on target (offensively strong)
Risk Factors
- Peru's short recovery time: Only 3 days of rest since the last match
- Spain's slowing goal production: Currently 2.5 goals, season average is 3.1
- Peru's low shot on target efficiency: Averaged 2.8 shots on target in the last 5 matches
Overview
Peru will host Spain in a Friendly International match at Estadio Cuauhtémoc on June 9, 2026, 3:00 AM. This game serves as preparation for both teams and an opportunity to fine-tune their squads. Mathematical predictions suggest a balanced encounter, with a slightly higher win probability for Spain at 37% compared to 34% for Peru.
Form
Peru's current form (DLLDW) across all competitions shows a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Peru won their last match. Spain's form (WDWDD) over the last five games includes 2 wins and 3 draws, remaining undefeated; their last match ended in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Peru has averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game. Spain maintains a season average of 1.33 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per game, with 2 clean sheets. Matches at Estadio Cuauhtémoc have seen an average of 2.2 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
No data on previous head-to-head encounters between Peru and Spain is available in the provided dataset.
Key Players
For Peru, Jairo VĂ©lez stands out with 3 season goals and an average rating of 7.29 in 3 appearances, Renzo GarcĂ©s with 1 season goal in one appearance, and Yoshimar YotĂșn with 1 season assist and an average rating of 7.03 in 3 appearances. For Spain, Ferran Torres has 1 season goal and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.27 in 3 appearances, Mikel Oyarzabal boasts 2 season goals in one appearance, and Pau CubarsĂ has 1 season assist in one appearance.
Goalkeepers
Peru's goalkeeper, Pedro Gallese, has played in 3 season matches with an average rating of 6.57, recording 0 clean sheets. For Spain, goalkeeper Unai SimĂłn played in one season match with an average rating of 7.39, contributing to 2 clean sheets for his team.
Influences
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, a grass pitch, has seen an average of 2.2 goals per game in its last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games. Peru's home performance this season includes 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game.