Friendly International
Argentina - Iceland
06/10/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
2.5
3.1
0.6
2:0
14%3:0
12%2:1
8%1:1
8%4:0
7%What influences the xG?
Argentina
Iceland
League
The Lab
- 1Argentina with Alexis Mac Allister: 2.3 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Iceland with Kristian Hlynsson: 0.4 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 3Argentina: first goal in 5 of 5 games (100%)
- 4Iceland: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 5Argentina: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
78%
Draw
16%
Away Win
6%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
94%
Away or Draw
22%
No Draw
84%
Both Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis sees Argentina as clear favorites with a 78% win probability
- Form: Argentina won their last 5 games, while Iceland failed to win any of their last 5 away matches
- Tactics: Argentina showed dominance in their last 5 games with an average of 70% possession and 7.8 shots on target
- Squad Impact: Only 23% of Iceland's usual goal production is available, significantly weakening their attack
Risk Factors
- Fatigue: Argentina has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Tactics: Iceland averaged only 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
- Squad Impact: Only 65% of Argentina's usual starting eleven strength is available
Overview
Argentina host Iceland at Laugardalsvöllur for a Friendly International match on June 10, 2026, 3:00 AM. The match indicates a clear favorite role for Argentina, while Iceland enters as an underdog. This is an international friendly where teams test their form.
Form
Argentina is in outstanding form with 5 consecutive wins (Form: WWWWW)
They won their last match 2-0 against Honduras
Iceland, however, is in a difficult phase with 3 losses and 2 draws in their last 5 games (Form: LLDDL)
They lost their last match 0-1 against Japan
Statistics
Argentina averages 1.72 goals scored per game this season and concedes only 0.56 goals
At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 1.67 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded
Iceland has a higher scoring rate of 2.17 goals per game but also concedes 1.83 goals
Away from home, Iceland is defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 4.00 goals and scoring 3.00 goals
Matches at Laugardalsvöllur see an average of 4.0 goals per game
In 4 out of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and 4 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
The two teams have only met once before
The sole encounter on June 16, 2018, ended in a 1-1 draw
Both teams scored 1 goal each in that match
The historical record is even
Key Players
For Argentina, José Manuel López stands out in attack with 2 goals in his last 5 games
Giuliano Simeone showed stable form with 1 goal in his last 5 games
Nico Paz has stable form with 1 assist in his last 5 games
For Iceland, Orri Óskarsson is an important attacker with 4 goals in his last 5 games
Victor Pálsson recently scored 1 goal
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson contributed 1 goal in his last 4 games
Goalkeepers
Gerónimo Rulli is in goal for Argentina
Argentina has recorded 11 clean sheets this season
Elías Ólafsson is the goalkeeper for Iceland
Iceland has achieved 2 clean sheets this season
Influences
The match takes place on natural grass at Laugardalsvöllur
Argentina's home strength is reflected in an average of 1.67 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded at home
Iceland's away weakness is underlined by an average of 4.00 goals conceded away from home
The venue is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 4.0 goals per game