Friendly International

Bolivia - Scotland

06/06/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 4
Expected Goals
Bolivia
1.1
Total xG
2.6
Scotland
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
BOLSCO

Bolivia

Attack weakness (0.39x league average)
-1.34
Defensive weakness (0.8 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.99
Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
+0.87
Standings disadvantage (pos 77 vs 43, 34 places gap)
-0.20
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.05
Fernando Nava not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
16% of goal output missing (only 33% available)

Scotland

Attack strength (1.82x league average)
+1.32
Small sample (1 matches) - regression to mean
-1.01
Standings advantage (pos 43 vs 77, 34 places gap)
+0.10
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
-0.02
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.00
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.37
+0.37
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Bolivia with Fernando Nava: 0.6 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

27%

Draw

29%

Away Win

44%

Goals

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

56%

Away or Draw

73%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

54%

No

46%

Key Factors
  • Bolivia will play with only 33% of their usual starting XI's goal threat, without Fernando Nava
  • Scotland's possession-dominant play (59% possession) with an average of 5.8 shots on target
  • The mathematical analysis predicts Scotland as the favored team with a win probability of 44%
Risk Factors
  • B. Gilmour (Knee Injury) is absent for Scotland
  • Bolivia's low goal production of an average of 0.8 goals per game
Overview

Bolivia host Scotland in a Friendly International at Estadio Hernando Siles on June 6, 2026, 9:00 PM. This match offers both teams an opportunity to test their squads and improve team cohesion under competitive conditions.

Form

Bolivia's form in their last five matches is LLDLW (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their last game was a 3-0 win against Trinidad and Tobago. Scotland's form over their last five matches is LWLLW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). They won their last match 4-1 against Curacao. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Bolivia has scored an average of 1.33 goals per home game this season and conceded 0.67 goals. They kept one clean sheet at home. Scotland has scored an average of 1.33 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 1.00 goals. Scotland has not kept any clean sheets this season. According to advanced stats, Bolivia consistently scores around 0.8 goals per game, while Scotland consistently scores around 2.2 goals per game.

Head-to-Head

No previous head-to-head matches between Bolivia and Scotland are listed in the provided dataset.

Key Players

For Bolivia: Luis HaquĂ­n has 1 season goal with an average rating of 6.69. Miguelito showed 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.41. Ervin Vaca has a season average rating of 6.40 and a last-5 average rating of 6.43.

For Scotland: Lawrence Shankland has 2 season goals with an average rating of 8.63. Ryan Christie recorded 1 season goal and 1 season assist with an average rating of 7.30. Scott McTominay scored 2 goals in his last 5 games with a season average rating of 6.91.

Goalkeepers

Bolivia's goalkeeper Guillermo Viscarra has achieved 1 clean sheet this season and has an average rating of 6.50. Scotland's goalkeeper Angus Gunn has 0 clean sheets this season and an average rating of 7.67.

Influences

The match will be played on a grass surface at Estadio Hernando Siles. Bolivia shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.33 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded.

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