Friendly International
Romania - Wales
06/06/2026, 05:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Romania
Wales
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
31%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- Romania's limited offensive power: According to squadImpact, it is critical as only 0% of the usual goal production is available
- Low goal threat from both teams: Romania averages ~0.8 goals and Wales ~0.5 goals per game, both teams also have few shots on target (Romania Ø 3.5, Wales Ø 2.8)
- Balanced forecast: The pipeline analysis predicts a very close outcome with a home win of 37%, a draw of 31%, and an away win of 32%
Risk Factors
- Wales' squad strength: Only 57% of Wales' usual starting XI strength is available
- Wales' offensive creation: Wales averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 4 games
Overview
Romania host Wales at Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti. This is a Friendly International match on June 6, 2026, 7:45 PM. Both teams are using this opportunity for international testing.
Form
Romania's current form is LWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a draw. Wales shows a form of LLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This corresponds to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Wales recently drew their last two matches.
Statistics
Romania has averaged 0.5 goals scored per game and 1.5 goals conceded per game this season. They have kept no clean sheets and scored in one match. Wales has averaged 1.0 goals scored per game and 1.0 goals conceded per game. They have kept no clean sheets and scored in both matches. At Stadionul Steaua, an average of 4.0 goals were scored in one game, with both teams scoring in 1 of 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurring in 1 of 1 games.
Head-to-Head
No previous head-to-head matches between Romania and Wales were found in the dataset.
Key Players
For Romania, key players include Louis Munteanu (3 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, average rating 7.19), Ștefan Baiaram (1 goal in last 5 games, average rating 6.95), and Vlad Dragomir (1 goal in last 5 games, average rating 6.85). For Wales, Neco Williams (1 assist this season, average rating 7.21), Ethan Ampadu (average rating 6.91 in last 5 games), and Josh Sheehan (average rating 7.01 this season) stand out.
Goalkeepers
Romania's goalkeeper Otto Hindrich had an average rating of 6.21 in his last 4 games. Wales' goalkeeper Danny Ward did not play in the last 5 games. Both teams have zero clean sheets this season.
Influences
Matches at Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti, tend to be high-scoring with an average of 4.0 goals per game. In the only recorded match, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were registered.