Friendly International

Slovakia - Montenegro

06/05/2026, 04:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
Slovakia
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Montenegro
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
SLOMON

Slovakia

Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.48
Standings advantage (pos 42 vs 80, 38 places gap)
+0.12
100% of goal output missing (only 66% available)

Montenegro

Attack strength (1.67x league average)
+0.71
Small sample (1 matches) - regression to mean
-0.50
Standings disadvantage (pos 80 vs 42, 38 places gap)
-0.19
Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.11
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.10
S. Mugoša not in squad (1 goals, 0 assists)
20% of goal output missing (only 80% available)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.36
+0.36
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Goals

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

77%

Away or Draw

49%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

56%

No

44%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Slovakia with a probability of 51%
  • Slovakia showed a strong offense in their last 2 matches with an average of 7.5 shots on target
  • Montenegro played a very possession-oriented style in their last 5 matches with an average of 61% possession
Risk Factors
  • Only 67% of the seasonal goal threat from Slovakia's starting lineup is available
  • No head-to-head data is available for the two teams
  • The data situation for xG values for Montenegro's last 5 matches is incomplete (4 out of 5 missing)
Overview

Slovakia host Montenegro at the Košická futbalová arěna

A Friendly International match on June 5, 2026, 6:30 PM

Form

Slovakia shows strong form with WW from their last two matches

The team recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses across all competitions

Slovakia recently won 2-1 against Malta and 2-0 against Romania

Montenegro has a form of DWWLW in their last five matches

This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Their last victory was a 1-0 away win against Bulgaria

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Slovakia scored an average of 2.00 goals per game this season and conceded 0.50 goals per game

At home, they scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 0.50 goals

Montenegro scored an average of 1.67 goals per game and conceded 1.00 goal

Away from home, they scored an average of 1.00 goal and conceded 0.00 goals

At the Košická futbalově arěna, 5.0 goals were scored in a single match

In this match, both teams scored, and there were over 2.5 goals

Head-to-Head

There is no head-to-head data available for Slovakia and Montenegro

Key Players

For Slovakia, Denis Vavro, whose form trend is rising with a delta of 0.32, and Adam Obert, with a rising form trend of 0.40, are important defenders

Tomas Suslov (Midfielder) also shows a rising form trend of 0.21

For Montenegro, Milutin Osmajic is an important attacker with 3 season goals and 2 goals in his last 4 matches

Marko Jankovic (Midfielder) contributed 3 assists this season

Balša Sekulić (Attacker) scored 1 season goal

Injured S. Mugoša contributed 1 goal this season

Goalkeepers

Jakub Surovcik is listed as goalkeeper for Slovakia

Slovakia has kept 1 clean sheet this season

Miso Dubljanic  is listed as goalkeeper for Montenegro

Montenegro has kept 2 clean sheets this season

Influences

The Košická futbalově arěna venue showed an average of 5.0 goals in one match

In this single match, both teams scored, and there were over 2.5 goals

Slovakia scored an average of 2.00 goals at home and conceded 0.50 goals

Montenegro scored an average of 1.00 goal away and conceded 0.00 goals

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