Friendly International
Morocco - Norway
06/07/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.1
1.0
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
10%3:1
7%3:0
7%What influences the xG?
Morocco
Norway
League
The Lab
- 1Morocco: first goal in 6 of 7 games (86%)
- 2Morocco: 57% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (8 of 14)
- 3Morocco: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 4Morocco with Achraf Hakimi: 1.4 goals/game. Without: 3.5 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 5Morocco: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
59%
Draw
24%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
41%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Morocco's strong home form: Pipeline analysis predicts a home win with 59% probability and 2.02 expected home goals
- Morocco's offensive strength: Averaging 3.0 home goals per game against Norway's vulnerable away defense with 2.0 goals conceded per game
- Morocco's possession and shots on target: The team was ball-dominant in the last 5 games (62% possession) and averaged 6.8 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Norway's weak away defense, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded per away game
- Limited data availability for head-to-head matches as no historical meetings are available
Overview
Morocco hosts Norway in a Friendly International match at the Red Bull Arena on June 7, 2026, 9:00 PM
The game serves as a performance review for both teams as part of their international preparations
Form
Morocco shows strong current form with a record of W D W W W
This equates to 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches across all competitions
Norway displays mixed form with W D L D W
This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from their last 5 fixtures
Morocco recently achieved convincing victories, winning 4-0 against Madagascar and 5-0 against Burundi
Norway celebrated a 3-1 win against Sweden
Statistics
Morocco averages an impressive 3.0 home goals per game while conceding only 0.5 goals
The team kept 2 clean sheets in their home matches
Norway shows a weaker away record, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per away game
The team has not kept a clean sheet in away matches this season
The Red Bull Arena records an average of 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
No historical head-to-head matches between these two teams are available in the dataset
Key Players
For Morocco, Ismael Saibari is a key midfielder with 2 season goals and 5 goals in his last 5 games, holding an average rating of 7.84
Achraf Hakimi, a defender, provided 3 season assists and one assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.43
Brahim Díaz, an attacker, scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in the last 5 matches and shows a rising form trend
For Norway, Erling Haaland stands out as an attacker with 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 3 games, showing a rising form trend
Julian Ryerson, a defender, impresses with 5 assists in his last 5 games and a season average rating of 7.48
Martin Ødegaard, a midfielder, recorded one assist in his last 4 matches
Not nominated for Norway is Jørgen Strand Larsen (2 goals, 0 assists this season)
Goalkeepers
Morocco relies on Yassine Bounou, who appeared in 2 season games and kept 2 clean sheets
For Norway, Ørjan Nyland starts, having kept 1 clean sheet in 3 season appearances
Influences
Morocco benefits from its strong home advantage, with an average of 3.0 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded in home games
The Red Bull Arena is known for matches averaging 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of games
The playing surface is grass