Friendly International
Sweden - Greece
06/04/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.6
1.0
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%1:2
6%3:0
6%What influences the xG?
Sweden
Greece
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
28%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: Sweden is calculated as the more likely winner with 52% probability.
- Offensive Form: Sweden consistently scores, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- Defensive Strength: Greece recently concedes only 0.5 goals per game on average.
Risk Factors
- Sweden had only 3 days of rest since their last match.
- K. Karetsas is injured for Greece with an ankle injury.
Overview
Sweden host Greece in a Friendly International match at Strawberry Arena on June 4, 2026, 7:00 PM. The mathematical analysis places Sweden as a slight favorite with a 52% win probability.
Form
Sweden's form in their last three games is WWL, with two wins and one loss. Their most recent match was a loss.
Greece's form over their last three matches is WLD, comprising one win, one loss, and one draw. Their last result was a draw.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Sweden has averaged 1.0 goal scored per game and 3.0 goals conceded per game this season. They have kept no clean sheets.
Greece has averaged 0.0 goals scored per game and 0.5 goals conceded per game. They have kept one clean sheet.
The Strawberry Arena, the venue for this match, typically sees an average of 4.5 total goals per game.
Both teams scored in 50% of matches at this venue, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 75% of games.
Head-to-Head
In two previous head-to-head encounters, Sweden and Greece have an even record. Both teams secured one victory each, with no draws.
Sweden holds a narrow advantage in goal difference, leading 3-2.
The last match between these two teams saw Sweden win 2-0 on October 12, 2021.
Key Players
For Sweden, Alexander Isak stands out with one season goal and an average rating of 7.54, while Benjamin Nygren has scored two goals in his last five games. Mattias Svanberg contributed one assist this season and shows a slightly declining form trend.
For Greece, Konstantinos Koulierakis has scored two goals in his last five games, and Andreas Tetteh has one goal in his last five games. Christos Tzolis also netted one goal in his last five appearances.
Goalkeepers
Sweden's goalkeeper is Kristoffer Nordfeldt.
Greece's goalkeeper is Konstantinos Tzolakis, who kept one clean sheet this season.
Sweden has not kept any clean sheets this season.
Influences
The Strawberry Arena is a high-scoring venue, averaging 4.5 total goals per game. Historically, both teams scored in 50% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were seen in 75% of games.
Sweden will play on grass, which could benefit the home team.