Friendly International

Egypt - Russia

05/28/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Egypt
2.3
Total xG
3.9
Russia
1.6
Most Likely Scores

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

3:1

6%

1:2

6%

3:2

5%
What influences the xG?
EGYRUS

Egypt

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+1.06
Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.7 league avg)
-0.72
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.06

Russia

Small sample (0 matches) - regression to mean
+0.65
Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.24
Declining form (1.3 vs 2.1 season average)
-0.23
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.21
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.36
+0.36
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Russia: first goal in 5 of 6 games (83%)

  • 2
    Egypt: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)

  • 3
    Russia with Lechi Sadulaev: 4.8 goals/90 min. Without: 1.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Russia: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

22%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

91%

Under 1.5

9%

Over 2.5

75%

Under 2.5

25%

Over 3.5

55%

Under 3.5

45%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

73%

Away or Draw

49%

No Draw

78%

Both Score

Yes

73%

No

27%

Key Factors
  • Russia has only 0% of its usual starting XI goal threat available due to limited squad strength
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 51% probability of a home win for Egypt
  • Egypt consistently scores with an average of 1.8 goals per game, whereas Russia's goal production recently stagnated at 1.3 goals
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability for expected goals (xG) in the last 5 games for both teams
  • Russia won the only head-to-head encounter 3-1
  • Russia showed possession-dominant play in its last 5 games with an average of 5.6 shots on target
Overview

Egypt host Russia at the Cairo International Stadium for a Friendly International match. The game is scheduled for May 28, 2026, 8:00 PM

Form

The form of both teams in their last five games is balanced. Egypt achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (LDWWD). Russia also shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (WDLWD)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Egypt averages 2.0 goals per game this season and has not conceded any goals. Russia scores an average of 1.5 goals per game and conceded 0.5 goals. Egypt kept 2 clean sheets, while Russia recorded 1 clean sheet

Head-to-Head

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between the two national teams so far. Russia won this single encounter. The last match on June 19, 2018, ended in a 1-3 victory for Russia

Key Players

For Egypt, Zizo is a key player, contributing 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 season appearances. Omar Marmoush scored 2 goals in his last 169 minutes. Mahmoud Trezeguet scored 1 goal in 90 minutes. On the Russian side, Ivan Sergeev showed strong performances in the last 5 games with 2 goals and 2 assists in 270 minutes. Aleksey Miranchuk was involved in 1 goal and 2 assists in 447 minutes. Aleksey Batrakov recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 335 minutes

Goalkeepers

Egypt's goalkeeper Oufa Shobeir has recorded 2 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 7.58. Russia's goalkeeper Stanislav Agkatsev registered 1 clean sheet with an average rating of 6.96

Influences

The match will take place at the Cairo International Stadium on grass

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