Friendly International
Russia - Trinidad and Tobago
06/09/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.0
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
10%2:1
10%3:0
9%3:1
7%What influences the xG?
Russia
Trinidad and Tobago
League
The Lab
- 1Russia with Lechi Sadulaev: 2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Trinidad and Tobago with Deron Payne: 0 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (5 of 7 games)
- 3Russia: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 4Trinidad and Tobago: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
68%
Draw
21%
Away Win
12%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
88%
Away or Draw
32%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Russia with a 68% probability.
- Russia's Defensive Strength: Russia concedes an average of only 0.25 goals per home game.
- Trinidad and Tobago's Form: The team has recorded 0 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches, including a 0-5 defeat.
Risk Factors
- Russia is missing key attacking players such as K. Tyukavin and A. Golovin, with only 67% of goal production available.
- Trinidad and Tobago has conceded an average of 3.5 goals per game in recent matches.
Overview
Russia will host Trinidad and Tobago in a Friendly International match at Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1 on June 9, 2026, 7:00 PM. The mathematical analysis places Russia as the clear favorite with a high probability of 68% for a home win. Russia is projected to score 2.20 expected goals, while Trinidad and Tobago is projected for 0.83 expected goals.
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Russia's last five matches show a form of LWDLW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their most recent game was a 3-0 victory against Burkina Faso.
Trinidad and Tobago's form in their last five outings is DLLDL, recording 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their last match resulted in a 0-5 defeat against Korea Republic.
Statistics
Russia scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 0.5 goals per game in 4 matches. They kept 2 clean sheets. In home games, they scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded only 0.25 goals per game. Both teams scored in 1 of 4 matches.
Trinidad and Tobago scored an average of 2.3 goals and conceded 1.2 goals per game in 10 matches. They kept 2 clean sheets. In away games, they scored 2.4 goals and conceded 1.2 goals per game. Both teams scored in 7 of 10 matches. 6 out of 10 matches for Trinidad and Tobago ended with over 2.5 goals.
Key Players
Key players for Russia include: Lechi Sadulaev who has 2 season goals with an average rating of 7.48. Ilya Vakhania has 1 season goal and an average rating of 7.12. Aleksey Miranchuk scored 1 season goal and has an average rating of 6.98.
Key players for Trinidad and Tobago include: Reon Moore who scored 3 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games. D. Smith (goalkeeper) has an average rating of 6.43 in his last 5 games. D. Phillips has an average rating of 6.52 across 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Russia's starting goalkeeper is Anton Mitryushkin. The team has recorded 2 clean sheets this season.
Trinidad and Tobago's goalkeeper is D. Smith. The team has also recorded 2 clean sheets this season.
Influences
The match will be played on a grass surface. Russia demonstrates strong defensive performance at home, conceding only an average of 0.25 goals per home game. Trinidad and Tobago has scored an average of 2.4 goals per away game.