La Liga
Mallorca - Real Betis
02/15/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.7
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%0:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
29%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis points to an extremely balanced game, with a 36% chance of victory for Mallorca and 35% for Real Betis
- Real Betis has clear historical dominance, winning 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches
- Mallorca's stadium is a decisive factor; the last 5 home games saw an average of 4.2 goals, with both teams scoring every time
Risk Factors
- Real Betis must do without important offensive players, including Cucho HernĂĄndez (8 goals), leaving only about 68% of their usual goal threat available
- Both defensive lines have recently appeared vulnerable: Mallorca conceded an average of 2.2 goals in recent games, while Betis conceded 1.78 per away game
- The limited data on expected goals (xG) in recent matches could affect the assessment of offensive strength
Overview
Mallorca (16th place, 24 points) host Real Betis (5th place, 38 points) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
La Liga match on February 15, 2026, 9:00 PM
The hosts are fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Betis aim to solidify their European spot
Form
Mallorca's form is inconsistent with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five games (LWLWL)
Real Betis appear slightly stronger with 3 wins and 2 losses from their last five matches (LWWLW)
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Over the season, Real Betis is stronger offensively (1.61 goals per game vs 1.22) and more stable defensively (1.22 goals conceded per game vs 1.61)
However, Mallorca is defensively solid at home, conceding only 0.93 goals on average
Away from home, Betis is vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per game
In Mallorca's last 5 home games, there has been an average of 4.2 goals, with both teams scoring every time
Head-to-Head
Real Betis has dominated recent head-to-head encounters
In the last 5 meetings, Betis won 4 times, while Mallorca won only once
The goal difference of 8-2 also clearly favors the visitors
The last encounter was won by Betis 3-0
Key Players
For Mallorca, striker Vedat Muriqi stands out with 15 goals this season, including 5 in the last five matches
SamĂș Costa and Sergi Darder are key pillars in midfield
For Real Betis, wingers Antony (6 goals, 4 assists) and Abde Ezzalzouli (4 goals, 4 assists), as well as midfielder Pablo Fornals (6 goals, 4 assists) are crucial
Goalkeepers
Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo RomĂĄn has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Ălvaro Valles of Real Betis has already kept his goal clean 8 times, suggesting a more stable defense for the visitors overall
Influences
The home advantage is significant for Mallorca, as they concede far fewer goals at home (0.93 per game) than away (2.88)
The Estadi Mallorca Son Moix has recently been a venue for high-scoring games
In the last five matches there, an average of 4.2 goals were scored and both teams scored in every game