Friendly International
Korea Republic - El Salvador
06/04/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Korea Republic
El Salvador
League
The Lab
- 1Korea Republic with Hyeon-gyu Oh: 0.8 goals/game. Without: 3.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 2Korea Republic: 50% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (6 of 12)
- 3Korea Republic: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
54%
Draw
27%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
46%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Favorite Role: The mathematical analysis clearly favors Korea Republic with a 54% home win probability and 1.73 predicted goals
- Home Strength: Korea Republic won their last home game decisively 5-0 and averages 1.67 goals at home
- Tactical Superiority: Korea Republic shows dominance in possession (57%) and averages 4.8 shots on target
Risk Factors
- Limited Offense: El Salvador averaged only 2.5 shots on target in their last 2 games (few attempts)
- Vulnerable Away Defense: El Salvador conceded an average of 2.0 goals per away game (based on one game)
Overview
Korea Republic host El Salvador in a Friendly International at Seoul World Cup Stadium on June 4, 2026, 2:00 AM
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 54% probability
A draw is expected with 27% and an away win with 20%
Form
Korea Republic's form in their last five matches is WWLLW
This equates to 3 wins and 2 losses
El Salvador achieved two draws (DD) in their last two matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Korea Republic averages 1.67 goals scored per game and also concedes 1.67 goals per game
At home, the average is 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded
El Salvador averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded this season (based on one game)
Away from home, El Salvador averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded (based on one game)
The home team Korea Republic kept 1 clean sheet in 3 home games
At Seoul World Cup Stadium, an average of 5.0 goals were scored in one game
Both teams scored in 0 of 1 matches at this stadium
There was 1 of 1 matches with over 2.5 goals at Seoul World Cup Stadium
Korea Republic scores consistently (~1.7 goals per game) according to advanced statistics
El Salvador scores consistently (~1.5 goals per game)
Head-to-Head
There are no previous direct encounters between Korea Republic and El Salvador recorded in the available data
Key Players
For Korea Republic, Gue-sung Cho is an important attacker with 2 season goals
Hee-chan Hwang contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season
Dong-gyeong Lee has 1 assist this season
Not nominated for Korea Republic is Heung-min Son (2 goals/0 assists)
For El Salvador, Nathan Ordaz is an important attacker with 2 season goals
Goalkeepers
Korea Republic's goalkeeper, Seung-gyu Kim, has 1 appearance this season
Korea Republic kept 1 clean sheet this season
El Salvador's goalkeeper, Mario GonzĂĄlez, had no appearances this season
El Salvador failed to keep a clean sheet this season
Influences
The match will be played on natural grass at Seoul World Cup Stadium
At Seoul World Cup Stadium, an average of 5.0 goals were scored in one game
At this stadium, both teams scored in 0 of 1 matches and there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 1 matches
Korea Republic scored an average of 1.67 goals at home and conceded 1.33 goals
El Salvador scored an average of 2.0 goals away and conceded 2.0 goals (based on one game)