Friendly International
Haiti - Peru
06/06/2026, 12:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.6
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Haiti
Peru
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
47%
Draw
29%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
53%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis shows a clear favorite role for Haiti with a home win probability of 47%
- Tactical Difference: Haiti shows more offensive play with an average of 4.5 shots on target, while Peru adopts a counter-attacking approach (Avg. 2.2 shots on target)
- Form Advantage: Haiti achieved two wins and one draw in their last four matches, while Peru remained winless in their last five games (two draws, three losses)
Risk Factors
- Short Recovery Time: Haiti had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Low Shots on Target: Peru averaged 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
- High Goals Conceded Rate: Peru conceded an average of 2.00 goals per game this season
Overview
Haiti host Peru in a Friendly International match at Stade Sylvio Cator on June 6, 2026, 12:00 AM. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Haiti with a 47% probability and 1.51 expected goals. Peru has a 25% chance of winning with 1.04 expected goals, while a draw is calculated at 29%.
Form
Haiti's recent form in their last four matches is WLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), with two wins, one draw, and one loss. Peru is in a more challenging form phase with LDLLD from their last five games, including two draws and three losses, but no wins. Haiti won their last match against New Zealand 4-0. Peru recently drew 2-2 with Honduras.
Statistics
Haiti has averaged 1.67 goals scored per game this season and conceded an average of 0.67 goals. They kept one clean sheet and had one match with over 2.5 goals. Peru has scored an average of 1.00 goal per game this season and conceded an average of 2.00 goals. They had one match with over 2.5 goals and one match where both teams scored.
Head-to-Head
No head-to-head data is available for these two teams.
Key Players
For Haiti, Wilson Isidor stands out as an important attacker, having scored one goal this season and one goal in his last five games. Louicius Deedson showed rising form with one goal in his last three games. Frantzdy Pierrot contributed with one assist this season. For Peru, Jairo VĂ©lez is a crucial midfielder with two season goals and two goals in his last five games. Jairo Concha provided one assist this season and one in his last five games. Kenji Cabrera registered one assist in his last five games and shows a rising form trend.
Goalkeepers
Haiti's goalkeeper, Johny Placide, was part of the team that kept one clean sheet this season. Pedro Gallese, Peru's goalkeeper, played in two season games where his team did not manage to keep a clean sheet.
Influences
Haiti shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per home game. Peru has not played any away games this season but conceded an average of 2.00 goals per game overall. The match will be played on a grass surface at Stade Sylvio Cator.