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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Argentinos Juniors - Huracán

05/13/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Argentinos Juniors
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Huracán
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

13%

2:0

9%

0:1

9%
What influences the xG?
AJHUR

Argentinos Juniors

Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
-0.24
Attack strength (1.42x league average)
+0.16
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.05
Iván Morales on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)

Huracán

Defensive strength (1.2 conceded vs 0.9 league avg)
+0.25
Rising form (2 vs 1.5 season average)
+0.14
Attack strength (1.37x league average)
-0.09
Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
+0.08
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.02
Óscar Cortés on the bench (1 goals, 4 assists)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.5 goals/match)

League

Low-scoring league (2.1 goals/match)
-0.43
-0.43
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Huracán with Thaiel Peralta: 0.8 goals/90 min. Without: 3.8 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Argentinos Juniors with Diego Porcel: 7.1 goals/90 min. Without: 2.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Argentinos Juniors: 69% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

32%

Away Win

24%

Goals

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

76%

Away or Draw

56%

No Draw

68%

Both Score

Yes

44%

No

56%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis assigns Argentinos Juniors a home win probability of 44%, with 1.28 predicted home goals and 0.89 predicted away goals
  • Argentinos Juniors boasts a very strong home defense, conceding an average of only 0.36 goals per home game and recording 7 home clean sheets
  • Huracán shows a "Positive" form trend, scoring an average of 2.0 goals in recent matches, which is higher than their season average of 1.5 goals
Risk Factors
  • Argentinos Juniors had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Argentinos Juniors' goal production has recently stalled (1.2 goals per game) and shows a "Negative" form trend, compared to their season average of 1.4 goals
Overview

Argentinos Juniors (3rd place, 29 points) host Huracán (7th place, 22 points) in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The match takes place on May 13, 2026, 1:30 AM. Argentinos Juniors aims to solidify their position in the top group, while Huracán seeks to climb the table

Form

Argentinos Juniors shows a form of LWWLW in their last five matches, with 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last game was a 2-0 victory against Lanús. Huracán's form in the last five matches is WDLDW, consisting of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last game against Boca Juniors ended in a 3-2 win. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Argentinos Juniors scores an average of 1.12 goals per game and concedes an average of 0.76 goals. Their home defense is particularly strong, conceding only 0.36 goals per home game with 7 clean sheets at home. Huracán averages 1.18 goals per game and concedes 0.88 goals. Away from home, Huracán scores 1.12 goals and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Overall, Huracán achieved 7 clean sheets

Head-to-Head

In the 4 head-to-head matches so far, there has been an even record with 1 win for each team and 2 draws. The goal difference is 3:3. The last encounter on April 28, 2026, saw Argentinos Juniors win 2-1 away against Huracán

Key Players

For Argentinos Juniors, Alan Lescano (3 goals, 0 assists), Tomás Molina (3 goals, 0 assists, 2 goals in the last 5 games), and the in-form defender Sebastián Prieto (1 goal, 2 assists, 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games) are key players. For Huracán, Jordy Caicedo (8 goals, 0 assists, 2 goals in the last 5 games), Leonardo Gil (1 goal, 1 assist, 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games), and the in-form Facundo Waller (1 goal, 0 assists, 1 goal in the last 5 games) are notable. Óscar Cortés (1 goal, 4 assists) is not in the lineup for Huracán

Goalkeepers

Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández of Argentinos Juniors has recorded 9 clean sheets this season. On the opposing side, Hernán Galíndez of Huracán has recorded 7 clean sheets in the current season

Influences

Argentinos Juniors shows very stable defensive performance at home, conceding an average of 0.36 goals per home game. Huracán scores an average of 1.12 goals away and concedes 0.88 goals per away game

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